Nirimba (Qld)

Nirimba lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the Nirimba (Qld) statistical area (Lv2), as estimated by AreaSearch, was around 2,863 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 634 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,229. The increase is inferred from the resident population of 2,441 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with four validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio was 5,964 persons per square kilometer as of November 2025, placing Nirimba (Qld) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. This high density reflects a growth rate of 28.4% since the 2021 Census, which exceeded both the non-metro area's 8.8% and the national average. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains in recent periods for Nirimba (Qld).

However, natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles in driving population growth. For future projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia's SA2 area projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. By 2041, the Nirimba (Qld) statistical area is projected to grow by 4,409 persons, reflecting a gain of 163.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Nirimba among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Nirimba shows around 18 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 91 homes. As of FY-26, 18 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per home built between FY-21 and FY-25 is 15.9, indicating significant demand exceeding supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $389,000.

Commercial approvals in the area this financial year totalled $97,000, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Nirimba has 52.0% lower building activity per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 113 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Nirimba is expected to grow by 4,679 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Nirimba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact this region: New Bells Creek Zone Substation, Aura Boulevard and Graf Drive Duplication, Aura Water Project, and Aura Hotel. The following details the most relevant projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Nirimba performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Nirimba has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 1,792 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 2.4% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Nirimba is high at 77.9%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Health care & social assistance shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.9% versus the regional average of 4.5%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.4%, combined with employment decreasing by 1.0%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.4 percentage points in Nirimba. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.7%, labour force expanded by 2.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Nirimba. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Nirimba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, the suburb of Nirimba had a median income among taxpayers of $62,890 with the average level standing at $80,294. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $69,122 (median) and $88,251 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Nirimba cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 50.7% of the population, equating to 1,451 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 21.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 58th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Nirimba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Nirimba's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 90.8% houses and 9.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nirimba was at 7.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.0% and rented ones at 36.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure in Nirimba was $510, higher than Non-Metro Qld's $450. Nationally, Nirimba's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Nirimba features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.6% of all households, with couples having children making up 39.2%, couples without children at 25.9%, and single parent families accounting for 15.5%. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.4%, including lone person households at 14.7% and group households at 4.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Nirimba demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Nirimba trail's educational qualifications lag behind national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 24.9% have university degrees compared to Australia's 30.4%. This gap suggests room for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%).

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 13.2% and certificates for 29.8%. Educational participation is high, with 33.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nirimba has two active public transport stops operating, both serving buses. These stops are served by one route in total, offering 102 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 319 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 14 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Nirimba's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Nirimba, with typical levels of common health conditions seen across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 59% of the total population (1,689 people) have private health cover, compared to 53.9% in the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.3% and 9.1% of residents respectively. 77.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.2% in the rest of Queensland. The area has 3.2% (91 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 22.3% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Nirimba records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Nirimba had a cultural diversity index above average, with 11.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 24.1% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion, at 39.1%. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Rest of Qld, making up 0.4% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.2%), Australian (27.3%), and Other (7.6%). Notable differences existed for Maori (1.9% vs regional 0.7%), New Zealanders (1.3% vs 1.1%), and South Africans (0.8% vs 0.6%).

Nirimba hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Nirimba's median age is 27, which is lower than Queensland's average of 41 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Nirimba has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 at 24.8%, but fewer residents aged 55-64 at 3.8%. This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between 2021 and present, the population of those aged 35 to 44 has increased from 17.0% to 18.2%, while the 15 to 24 age group rose from 13.8% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 16.0% to 14.8%, and the 55 to 64 age group fell from 4.9% to 3.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Nirimba's age profile. The 25 to 34 age cohort is expected to expand by 1,195 people (168%), from 710 to 1,906. Meanwhile, the 85+ cohort is projected to remain unchanged with a growth of 0% (0 people).