Baringa

Baringa lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Baringa's population is estimated at around 6,293 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,689 people (36.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,604 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,398 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 193 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,356 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Baringa's 36.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area (8.8%), along with the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, is predicted over the period with the Baringa statistical area expected to expand by 9,108 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 147.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baringa was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Baringa has recorded approximately 84 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 420 homes were approved, with an additional 58 approved in FY26. On average, 7 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years, indicating significant demand exceeding supply.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $389,000. In FY26, there have been $3.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Comparatively, Baringa has slightly more development than the rest of Queensland, with 18.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This level is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location.

Recent construction comprises 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Baringa's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing. As of the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Baringa reflects a developing area with around 70 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate that Baringa will gain approximately 9,252 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Baringa has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects that may impact the area. Key projects include Aura Business Park, Aura Hotel, The Wave - Sunshine Coast Rail and Metro, and New Bells Creek Zone Substation. Those likely to be most relevant are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Baringa performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Baringa has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in September 2025 was 2.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

There were 3,603 residents employed at this time, with an unemployment rate 1.8% lower than the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. The workforce participation rate in Baringa was 76.3%, compared to the Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance had an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence with only 0.3% employment compared to the regional figure of 4.5%.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.1%, and employment decreased by 0.7%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with an increase in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 showed Queensland's employment had contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% and by 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baringa's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Baringa suburb's income level is above average nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Median income among taxpayers in Baringa is $61,966, with an average of $79,114. This compares to Rest of Qld's median and average incomes of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $68,107 (median) and $86,954 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, Baringa's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 46.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring regional levels where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 20.2% of income, placing disposable income at the 62nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Baringa is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Baringa, evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 83.2% houses and 16.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baringa was 11.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.8% and rented dwellings at 43.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent figure was $485, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $450. Nationally, Baringa's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Baringa were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Baringa features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.9% of all households, including 43.6% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 14.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Baringa exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Baringa Trail residents aged 15+ have 23.7% university degree holders compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials, held by 45.3%, include advanced diplomas (13.8%) and certificates (31.5%). Current educational participation stands at 34.4%, with 13.9% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.9% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 active stops operating in Baringa. These are mixed bus routes with 2 individual services providing a total of 301 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 193 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 43 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per stop.

Baringa's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Baringa's health outcomes data shows exceptional results, with younger cohorts having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of 1 June 2021, approximately 59% (3,684 people) of Baringa's total population had private health cover, compared to 53.9% across the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues and asthma were the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.8 and 7.9% of residents respectively, as of this date. Meanwhile, 75.9% of Baringa's residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.2% across the rest of Queensland. As of this date, 3.7% (232 people) of Baringa's residents were aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 22.3% in the rest of Queensland. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Baringa was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baringa had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 13.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 27.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Baringa, accounting for 38.5% of the population. However, there was an overrepresentation in the 'Other' religious category, comprising 1.3% compared to the regional average of 0.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 30.4%, Australian at 26.8%, and Other at 8.2%. Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented in Baringa at 1.6% (regional average: 1.1%), Maori at 1.4% (regional average: 0.7%), and South Africans at 0.8% (regional average: 0.6%).

Baringa hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Baringa's median age is 28 years, which is notably younger than both Queensland's average of 41 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Baringa has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.9%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 18.1% to 19.6%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has risen from 21.7% to 22.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 17.9% to 16.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Baringa's age profile. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 151%, adding 2,168 residents and reaching a total of 3,603 residents.