Baringa

Baringa lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Baringa is around 5,691 people. This figure represents a growth of 1,087 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,604. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,934 following examination of the ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 193 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,131 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Baringa's growth rate of 23.6% since the 2021 Census exceeds both the non-metro area (8.8%) and the national average, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Future population trends predict exceptional growth for Baringa, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas by 2041, with an expected expansion of 9,147 persons over the period, reflecting a gain of 173.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baringa was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis shows Baringa recorded around 62 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 310 homes were approved, with an additional 20 approved in FY-26. On average, about 9.5 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This high demand outstrips new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new homes is $389,000, below regional norms, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $495,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Baringa has 11.0% less new development per person but ranks among the 89th percentile nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence.

Recent construction comprises 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Baringa's suburban nature with detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 80 people per approval, Baringa reflects a developing area. By 2041, AreaSearch forecasts indicate Baringa will gain 9,893 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Baringa has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Aura Business Park, Aura Hotel, The Wave - Sunshine Coast Rail and Metro, and New Bells Creek Zone Substation. Below is a list of those likely to be most relevant.

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Baringa ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Baringa has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, 3,283 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Baringa is high at 76.3%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, health care & social assistance has a strong presence with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.3% compared to the regional 4.5%.

Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.7%, and employment decreased by 2.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insights into potential future demand within Baringa. These projections suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Baringa's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Baringa's median income among taxpayers was $61,966 according to AreaSearch data from the ATO for financial year 2022. The average income stood at $79,114 in Baringa during this period, compared to $50,780 and $64,844 respectively for the Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $70,635 and average income around $90,182 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Baringa cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. In terms of earnings profile, 46.8% of individuals (2,663) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, mirroring regional levels where 31.7% occupy this band. High housing costs consume 20.2% of income in Baringa, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 62nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Baringa is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Baringa's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 83.2% houses and 16.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baringa was at 11.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (45.8%) or rented (43.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent was $485, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $450. Nationally, Baringa's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Baringa features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.9% of all households, including 43.6% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 14.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households making up 3.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Baringa exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Baringa trail regional benchmarks, with 23.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 45.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.8%) and certificates (31.5%). Educational participation is notably high, with 34.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.9% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education. Baringa's 3 schools have combined enrollment reaching 1,565 students while the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1023) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision follows conventional lines, split between 1 primary and 2 secondary institutions. The area functions as an education hub with 27.5 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 13.2 – attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 active stops operating in Baringa. These are mixed bus stops serviced by two routes offering 334 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is excellent with residents typically 193 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 47 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per stop.

Baringa's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Baringa, with younger cohorts particularly experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 59% of Baringa's total population (3,332 people) have private health cover, compared to 52.7% in the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Baringa, affecting 8.8 and 7.9% of residents respectively. A total of 75.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the 66.2% reported across the rest of Queensland. As of 31 December 20XX, Baringa has 3.7% of its population aged 65 and over (210 people), lower than the 22.3% in the rest of Queensland. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Baringa was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baringa had above average cultural diversity, with 13.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 27.5% born overseas. Christianity was the main religion in Baringa, comprising 38.5%. The most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, at 1.3%, compared to 0.5% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (30.4%), Australian (26.8%), and Other (8.2%). Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.6% versus 1.1% regionally, Maori at 1.4% versus 0.7%, and South Africans at 0.8% versus 0.6%.

Baringa hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Baringa's median age is 28 years, which is notably younger than the Rest of Queensland average of 41 and significantly lower than the national average of 38. Compared to the Rest of Queensland, Baringa has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.8%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.9%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.5%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 18.1% to 19.6%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has risen from 21.7% to 22.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 17.9% to 16.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Baringa's age profile will change significantly. The number of residents aged 25-34 is projected to grow by 178%, adding 2,315 residents to reach a total of 3,613.