Gayndah - Mundubbera
Statistical Area - sa2

Gayndah - Mundubbera has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Gayndah - Mundubbera's population is around 6,755 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 360 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,395 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,668 in June 2024 and an additional 105 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 0.80 persons per square kilometer. Gayndah - Mundubbera's growth rate of 5.6% since the census positions it close to the SA3 area's growth rate of 6.0%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 97.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, national non-metropolitan areas' lower quartile growth is anticipated, with Gayndah - Mundubbera expected to expand by 196 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 1.6% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Gayndah - Mundubbera according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Gayndah-Mundubbera has averaged around 12 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 62 homes approved over the past five financial years (FY-20 to FY-25), and five so far in FY-26. On average, 1.6 new residents have arrived per new home each year over the past five financial years. However, this has intensified to 5.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average value of $300,000, which is under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers.

There have been $6.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Gayndah-Mundubbera shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice that supports interest in existing properties. This level is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes that appeal to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 402 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Gayndah-Mundubbera is expected to grow by 109 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Gayndah - Mundubbera has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified five projects likely impacting the region. Key projects are Stony Creek Wind Farm, New Paradise Dam Wall, Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project, and Monto-Mount Perry Road progressive sealing. The following details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Gayndah - Mundubbera remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Gayndah - Mundubbera has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 4.6%, and estimated employment growth of 7.1% in the year ended June 2025. As of that date, 3,593 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.6% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation stands at 52.8%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries for employment among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 8.0 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, at 10.9% compared to Rest of Qld's 16.1%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year ended June 2025, employment increased by 7.1% while labour force grew by 7.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld had employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Statewide in Queensland to Sep-25, employment contracted by 0.23% (losing 8,070 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.5%, and employment growth is 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gayndah - Mundubbera's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Gayndah - Mundubbera has a median taxpayer income of $38,026 and an average income of $45,885 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages; Rest of Qld's median income was $50,780 with an average of $64,844 in the same period. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,479 (median) and $51,258 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Gayndah - Mundubbera fall between the 5th and 9th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 30.2% of the population (2,040 individuals) earn within the $400-$799 range, differing from surrounding regions where the $1,500-$2,999 range dominates at 31.7%. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 88.6% income retention, total disposable income ranks at just the 9th percentile nationally.

Gayndah - Mundubbera is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gayndah - Mundubbera, as per the latest Census, 93.2% of dwellings were houses while 6.8% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gayndah - Mundubbera stood at 48.1%, similar to Non-Metro Qld's rate. Mortgaged properties accounted for 24.6% and rented dwellings made up 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, matching the Non-Metro Qld average. However, the median weekly rent in Gayndah - Mundubbera was $215 compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gayndah - Mundubbera features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 64.6% of all households, including 21.4% couples with children, 33.6% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 35.4%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Gayndah - Mundubbera faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 12.1%, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.1%) and certificates (30.0%).

Educational participation is high at 27.2%, comprising 11.5% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 2.1% in tertiary education. There are 10 schools operating within Gayndah - Mundubbera, educating approximately 727 students. These schools demonstrate typical Australian conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 951). The educational mix includes 7 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents are lower at 10.8 compared to the regional average of 14.0, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Gayndah - Mundubbera is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Gayndah - Mundubbera, with high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 47% (around 3,147 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.1 and 8.0% of residents respectively. About 61.2% of residents report being free from medical ailments, slightly higher than the 59.4% in the rest of Queensland. Around 26.5% (1,792 people) are aged 65 and over. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they generally perform better than the general population in health metrics.

Gayndah - Mundubbera ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gayndah-Mundubbera, as per the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 82.2% of its population being Australian citizens, 86.3% born in Australia, and 92.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 58.8%, compared to 56.4% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (31.5%), English (30.1%), and German (7.8%).

Notable differences existed in the representation of certain ethnicities: Australian Aboriginal at 4.9% (vs regional 6.0%), Korean at 0.3% (vs 0.1%), and Samoan at 0.1% (vs 0.0%).

Gayndah - Mundubbera hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Gayndah-Mundubbera has a median age of 47 years, which is higher than Rest of Qld's median age of 41 years and also older than the national norm of 38 years. Comparing with the Rest of Qld average, the 75-84 age group is over-represented at 10.3% locally, while the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 10.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.8% to 12.7%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 9.7% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.4%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 14.3% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Gayndah-Mundubbera's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 162 people (from 208 to 371), and the combined 65+ age groups will account for 52% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, population declines are expected for the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 cohorts.