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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Ceduna has an estimated 2,051 residents, up from 1,955 at the 2021 Census — a change of 96 people, or 4.9%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to municipal population data updates compiled by ABS and subsequent residential address verifications by AreaSearch following the census, the suburb of Ceduna has an estimated residential count of 2,051 as of May 2026. Compared to the 1,955 residents documented during the 2021 Census, this indicates an expansion of 96 individuals (4.9%). This demographic adjustment is calculated using the updated resident base of 2,051, modeled by AreaSearch using the June 2025 ERP data release from the ABS alongside 15 validated new addresses documented after the census date. The current population volume yields a density of 5.1 persons per square kilometer, which represents a spacious layout for residents.
The 4.9% rate of growth recorded in the suburb of Ceduna since the 2021 census outperformed the broader SA4 region (4.2%) and the SA3 area, establishing it as a regional leader in population expansion. This upward trend was chiefly supported by natural increase, which was responsible for approximately 56.99999999999999% of the overall population gains over the specified timeframe. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia models developed in 2024 with a 2022 baseline for local SA2 zones. For geographic zones lacking coverage in this dataset, and for the years following 2032, calculations integrate the SA State Government's age-specific regional and LGA forecasts published in 2023 utilizing 2021 figures, which are scaled via a weighted aggregation method translating LGA growth trends to SA2 divisions. Looking at the long-term outlook for the suburb of Ceduna, future gains are projected to track slightly below the median growth rate of non-metropolitan areas, with the local cohort expected to add 147 residents by 2041 under consolidated SA2 models, registering a net rise of 7.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
21 new dwellings have been approved in Ceduna over the past five years, an average of 4 a year. That is 2.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals assigned to local areas indicates that Ceduna has averaged approximately 4 new residential approvals annually. This translates to an estimated 21 approved dwellings over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 4 approvals registered during the current FY-26 period. Over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 2.4 residents moved to the district for every newly built residence, pointing to strong demand patterns that help maintain local real estate valuations. Newly constructed dwellings carry an average estimated construction cost of $413,000, illustrating a developer focus on high-value projects aimed at the upper end of the market.
Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $61,000 have been logged during the current financial year, highlighting a focus that is overwhelmingly residential. Relative to Rest of SA, Ceduna generates roughly 65% of the per capita building activity, placing it in the 40th percentile of all examined locations nationwide. This creates a situation of fairly restricted choices for prospective buyers, which helps maintain interest in established homes. This volume also falls below the nationwide average, reflecting a mature local market and potentially pointing to planning limitations. Meanwhile, all construction activity in recent times has focused on detached houses, preserving the low-density profile of the neighborhood and attracting buyers seeking suburban space. The ratio of 411 individuals per single dwelling approval highlights a quiet development landscape with low levels of construction activity. Long-term demographic forecasts show Ceduna gaining 147 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly modeling from AreaSearch. Residential construction is keeping a moderate pace with this anticipated population growth, although home buyers may experience tighter competition as the overall number of residents grows.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ceduna
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 40 current infrastructure and development projects close to Ceduna, worth an estimated $1.15 billion. 13 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major works have a significant impact on local performance. In total, no projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having an influence on the area. The key regional initiatives include South Australian Road Network Maintenance, South Australia High Productivity Vehicle Network Access, Gawler Craton Rail Access, and Bulk Water Supply Security, with the detailed list below showcasing the most relevant entries.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Roxby Downs Area School Refurbishment
$7 million facility upgrade including refurbishment of four buildings with general learning areas, teacher preparation and breakout spaces, refreshed food technology areas, soundproofed music and drama studios, a new amphitheatre for open-air performances, broader landscaped outdoor learning areas, and a nature playground integrated with the desert landscape. The project reached completion in December 2021 and was officially opened in June 2024.
Marina Footbridge Safety Upgrade
Safety upgrade and replacement of control panel on Marina Footbridge to ensure safe pedestrian access between marina and city center, improving connectivity for residents and tourists.
Port Lincoln Housing Strategy 2024-2029
The Port Lincoln Housing Strategy 2024-2029 is a comprehensive framework adopted by Council to address housing affordability and supply. Key updates in 2026 include the formal adoption of the 30-year Port Lincoln Master Plan in February, which integrates the strategy's goals for sustainable growth. A landmark land agreement reached in March 2026 for the Western Link Road corridor will unlock undeveloped land for new residential precincts. Council is also progressing with the revocation of community land status for sites like 25 Chapman Street to enable sale for private residential development.
Port Lincoln Master Plan
Adopted 30-year strategic master plan guiding Port Lincoln's long-term growth, land release, infrastructure investment and future residential, employment and commercial areas. Council adopted the final Port Lincoln Master Plan in February 2026 with minor amendments and authorised next steps for a Complying Change for Priority Area 2 and a Code Amendment for residential and miscellaneous areas identified in the plan.
Observation Rise
Premium residential land estate featuring 105 residential allotments with elevated marina views. Located close to the Marina, schools, childcare, tavern and community centre. The estate features two central parks and offers a choice of building allotments with some providing elevated views for observing marina activity.
Port Lincoln Foreshore Redevelopment
A $7.24 million comprehensive foreshore redevelopment featuring public art, all-ages adventure play spaces, sports zone with half-court ball sports and bouldering wall, central plaza for events, upgraded town jetty for charter vessels, and fully accessible public realm upgrades with beach access.
Eyre Peninsula Network Road Upgrades
Major road infrastructure program upgrading roads across the Eyre Peninsula, including the Eyre Highway between Port Augusta and the WA border, new overtaking lanes, junction upgrades, pavement reconstruction, and heavy vehicle rest areas to improve safety and supply chain resilience.
Port Lincoln Hospital Redevelopment
Federally funded hospital redevelopment in 2015 featuring upgraded consulting rooms for visiting specialists, combined Chemotherapy & Renal Dialysis Clinic, and modern 50-bed complex with high dependency unit, maternity services and operating facilities.
880 residents of Ceduna are employed, from a labour force of 1,002. Unemployment sits at 12.2%, with participation at 61.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,221, about 108% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Ceduna displays a balanced labor market split between professional and manual occupations, with a solid footprint in essential services and a local unemployment rate of 12.2% derived from consolidated statistical datasets. In March 2026, the employed population stood at 880 residents, while the local jobless rate sat 6.7% higher than the Regional SA average of 5.5%, indicating opportunities for labor market optimization. The participation rate remains standard at 61.6% compared to 58.4% for Regional SA. Census returns indicated that a minimal 5.1% of local workers operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted in light of past pandemic lockdown conditions.
The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The local area shows a strong concentration in education & training, where the employment proportion is 1.6 times the Regional SA benchmark. Conversely, manufacturing makes up a small share of the workforce at 1.6%, compared to the regional average of 9.3%. A census-derived ratio of 0.7 employed workers per resident shows a higher-than-average volume of local employment options. Based on consolidated SALM and ABS statistics for the 12 months leading up to March 2026, the local workforce shrank by 2.0% while total employment fell by 8.4%, leading to a 6.2 percentage point rise in the jobless rate. Over the same timeframe, Regional SA experienced a 1.2% rise in employment, a 2.6% expansion of the labor force, and a 1.4 percentage point increase in unemployment. Long-term national workforce forecasts published in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future occupation trends. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. While overall national employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the expected growth rates vary widely by industry. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against the local workforce mix suggests Ceduna could see employment gains of 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes without factoring in specific local population models.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ceduna is $1,376 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $762 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,344 a year against an average of $59,373. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Consolidated ATO taxpayer statistics from the 2023 financial year show that the suburb of Ceduna recorded a median taxpayer income of $50,344 and an average taxpayer income of $59,373. These figures sit below the national benchmarks and compare to median and average tax figures of $48,920 and $58,933 across Regional SA. Adjusting for a 10.17% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current local estimates are approximately $55,464 for the median and $65,411 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual incomes are modest, falling between the 26th and 41st percentiles.
Income distribution figures indicate that 28.9% of the local population (592 individuals) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, which is close to the metropolitan average of 27.5%. Average housing expenses consume a moderate share of earnings, leaving 88.5% of income intact, though overall disposable income ranks low in the 32nd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ceduna had 740 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 2% apartments. 25% are owned with a mortgage, 45% rented and 31% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $200 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,200 a month. Rent absorbs 14.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential landscape in Ceduna at the time of the latest Census consisted of 90.1% standalone houses and 9.9% alternative housing types like semi-detached properties, townhouses, and apartments, compared to 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwelling types across Regional SA. Home ownership rates in Ceduna were lower than the Regional SA average, standing at 30.7%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (24.8%) or renting (44.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,200 was higher than the Regional SA benchmark of $1,153, while the median weekly rent was $200, compared to $220 in Regional SA.
By national standards, Ceduna's median mortgage costs are well below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also much lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ceduna counted 740 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 26% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 67.2% of all local households, consisting of 25.7% couples raising children, 26.8% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent households. The remaining 32.8% consists of non-family households, which are predominantly lone person households at 30.2% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size of 2.4 residents is slightly larger than the Regional SA average of 2.3.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
14.9% of adults in Ceduna hold a university qualification, including 10.9% with a bachelor degree and 2.2% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 93% of areas nationally. A further 28.0% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 610 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 822 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region presents low levels of tertiary education, with university graduation rates of 14.9% falling well short of the Australian average of 30.4%, highlighting a clear focus area for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational education is prominent, with 37.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding a technical credential, split between advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 28.0%. Enrolment rates are high throughout the community, with 29.0% of local residents currently participating in structured study.
This cohort is made up of 13.9% in primary schooling, 6.5% in secondary education, and 3.0% enrolled in tertiary programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Ceduna means driving: households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.0% of residents in Ceduna report no long-term health condition. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators highlight significant challenges based on local mortality and chronic illness data across both younger and older cohorts, with private health insurance coverage levels sitting low at around 50% of the population, representing approximately 1,035 people. This is lower than the nationwide average of 55.7%. The most prevalent chronic health conditions in the region are asthma and arthritis, which affect 7.7% and 7.5% of the population, respectively. Conversely, 69.0% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 62.5% across Regional SA. Health markers for working-age residents are in line with broader trends.
The suburb has 20.5% of its population aged 65 and over (representing 420 people), which is lower than the Regional SA proportion of 27.1%. Senior health outcomes are very positive, with national rankings for this older age group exceeding those of the general community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Ceduna is largely Australian-born, at 90.7% of residents, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.0%) and English (26.9%). 20.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics show below-average figures, with citizens making up 88.5% of the population, 90.7% of residents born in Australia, and 89.8% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 48.4% of the population. The most prominent religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of residents compared to none in Regional SA. Looking at parent countries of birth, the three most common ancestries are Australian at 27.0%, English at 26.9% (which is below the regional average of 32.5%), and Australian Aboriginal at 20.4% (which is significantly higher than the regional average of 3.3%).
Other notable variations in ethnic background include German ancestry at 5.8% of the local population (compared to 8.2% across the region), Greek ancestry at 1.3% (compared to 0.6% regionally), and Polish ancestry at 0.7% (compared to 0.4% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ceduna is 37. 24.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 37 years in Ceduna is lower than the Regional SA median of 47 and matches closely with the national median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 age bracket is well represented at 14.0% compared to Regional SA, while the 65 - 74 age group is smaller at 10.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age cohort has grown from 10.6% to 12.9% of the population, and the 55 to 64 group has increased from 11.2% to 12.5%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 12.6% to 9.4%.
Population models indicate the age profile of Ceduna will experience shifts by 2041, with the 75 to 84 cohort showing the fastest growth at 44%, adding 70 residents to reach 233. Older residents aged 65 and over are expected to account for 83% of the total population growth, highlighting a local aging trend. Conversely, population drops are predicted for the 35 to 44 and 5 to 14 age cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ceduna
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,955 at the 2021 Census → 2,051 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL40237). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.