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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Ceduna has an estimated 2,854 residents, up from 2,697 at the 2021 Census — a change of 157 people, or 5.8%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 58.5% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Ceduna is approximately 2,854 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 157 individuals (5.8%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 2,697 people. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 2,854 and 22 validated new addresses identified since the Census. The population density stands at 6.9 persons per square kilometer, indicating a low density with significant space for residents. The 5.8% growth rate of Ceduna since the 2021 census was higher than both the SA4 region (4.2%) and the SA3 area, making it a regional leader in population growth.
The main driver of this growth was natural increase, which accounted for roughly 58.5% of the total population rise in recent times. For each SA2 area, AreaSearch uses the ABS/Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. In cases where SA2 areas lack this data, or for periods after 2032, projections are sourced from the SA State Government's 2023 Regional/LGA age-specific projections based on 2021 data, adjusted via a weighted aggregation of growth from the LGA to the SA2 level. Future demographic trends indicate that population growth will be slightly below the median for regional parts of the country, with the locality projected to grow by 182 residents by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP, representing a total increase of 6.4% over the 16-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
35 new dwellings have been approved in Ceduna over the past five years, an average of 7 a year. That is 2.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 9, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An average of approximately 7 new dwelling approvals has been registered annually in Ceduna, amounting to 35 residential properties over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 9 approvals have been logged so far. Over the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 2.3 people moved to the area for every new residence built, indicating strong demand that supports local property values. The average construction cost for these new homes is $287,000. Furthermore, commercial development approvals total $5.8 million for this financial year, highlighting that the area remains predominantly residential in nature.
Ceduna exhibits a new dwelling approval rate per capita that is roughly three-quarters of the level seen in the Rest of SA, and it falls into the 55th percentile among all locations evaluated across the country, even though construction activity has accelerated recently. This rate also sits below the national benchmark, suggesting a mature property market or potential obstacles to development. Recent construction has consisted entirely of detached houses, preserving the established low-density layout of the area and focusing on family properties designed for buyers wanting space. The ratio of 447 people per single dwelling approval points to a quiet construction sector with low overall activity. Long-term forecasts indicate that Ceduna will gain 182 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly projections from AreaSearch. Current building volumes appear to match these future demographic needs, which should support stable market conditions and prevent significant upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ceduna
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 72 current infrastructure and development projects close to Ceduna, worth an estimated $62.4 billion. 21 are already under construction and 14 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, ports, marinas, fisheries & aquaculture and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local infrastructure, major developments, and planning schemes are primary drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects expected to impact this locality. The key projects include South Australian Road Network Maintenance, South Australia High Productivity Vehicle Network Access, Gawler Craton Rail Access, and Bulk Water Supply Security, with the primary projects of relevance listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
South Australian Road Network Maintenance
An initiative to address the growing backlog in maintenance on South Australia's roads, aiming to enhance safety, reduce costs for users, and ensure road network resilience through strategic investment.
South Australia High Productivity Vehicle Network Access
Expanding South Australia's road freight network for larger High Productivity Vehicles to enhance safety, reduce transport costs, and improve economic productivity through infrastructure upgrades like improved road geometry and bridge capacities.
Gawler Craton Rail Access
The proposal is for a third party to build, own, and operate a 350 km railway in the Gawler Craton province, linking to the existing interstate rail network. It aims to provide significant transport connections to mines such as Prominent Hill, Olympic Dam, and Carrapateena, and open up other potential reserves including Wirrda Well, Acropolis, Vulcan, Titan, and Millers Creek. The project could facilitate exploration and development in the remote mineral region, which contains extensive copper, gold, silver, and iron ore deposits.
Yadnarie Renewable Energy Facility
Approved utility-scale hybrid solar and long-duration energy storage project near Cleve on South Australia's Eyre Peninsula. The facility will use RayGen PV Ultra solar cogeneration and Thermal Hydro electro-thermal storage technology, with up to 150 MW of solar capacity, 90 MW grid connection and 720 MWh of storage. AGL acquired the project from Photon Energy in July 2025 after development approval was granted in June 2025. Delivery is planned in stages, with the first 50 MW solar and 30 MW grid connection block anticipated during 2028 and the full project targeted by 2030.
Woomera Redevelopment Program
The project involves redeveloping the Airforce's Woomera Range Complex using a Managing Contractor model. Scope includes refurbishment and upgrades across Base Sector North (technical area and airfield, including hangars, aprons, taxiways, roads, ordnance loading areas, headquarters, workshops, and infrastructure like water, power, sewer, firefighting, communications, drainage, lighting), Base Sector West (living accommodations, headquarters, syndicate room, dining facility, and infrastructure), and Base Sector South - Woomera Village (new accommodations, social and community facilities, and upgraded infrastructure including power, wastewater treatment, communications, water, firefighting, drainage, erosion control, irrigation).Also includes demolition of redundant facilities.
Green Iron Magnetite Project
A 1.2 billion-tonne magnetite project aiming to produce 6 million tonnes per annum of high-grade concentrate. It is a core component of the South Australian Government's Green Iron and Steel Strategy, focusing on supplying domestic and global green steel supply chains.
Port Neill Foreshore Protection Works
Foreshore protection and upgrade works to mitigate coastal hazards and improve public amenity along the Port Neill foreshore. The project is part of the District Council of Tumby Bay's long-term asset management plan.
Cape Hardy Advanced Fuels Precinct
The Cape Hardy Advanced Fuels Precinct is a large-scale green hydrogen and ammonia production hub located on the Eyre Peninsula. Developer Revera Energy holds a final 469-hectare option (Area A) at Cape Hardy, maintaining integration with the Northern Water Supply project and federal Major Project Status.
1,261 residents of Ceduna are employed, from a labour force of 1,435. Unemployment sits at 12.1%, with participation at 63.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local economy supports a mixed labor force of both white and blue collar workers, with strong representation in essential service sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 12.1%. As of March 2026, 1,261 local citizens are employed, and the unemployment rate is 6.7% higher than the Regional SA average of 5.5%, indicating room for labor market progress. Labor force participation is relatively typical, sitting at 63.3% compared to 58.4% in Regional SA. According to Census data, a modest 5.3% of workers operated from home, though this figure may have been affected by Covid-19 pandemic restrictions.
Local employment is largely concentrated within health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Education & training shows a particularly high concentration, with an employment share that is 1.6 times the regional benchmark. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing is less represented at 6.5% compared to the regional rate of 14.5%. Even though there are local job opportunities in the vicinity, the relationship between the Census working population and the local resident population suggests a significant proportion of workers travel to other areas for employment. Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, the workforce shrank by 1.6% and total employment dropped by 8.2% during the twelve months ending March 2026, leading to a 6.2 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This trend diverges from Regional SA, where employment expanded by 1.2%, the labor force increased by 2.6%, and the unemployment rate grew by 1.4 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide context for future local labor demand. These five-year and ten-year forecasts have been combined with local industry shares to project future employment trajectories. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Projecting these industry trends onto the local employment structure suggests employment in Ceduna could rise by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted projection for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ceduna is $1,406 a week (about $73,000 a year), with median personal income at $788 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,794 a year against an average of $66,295. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the most recent postcode ATO statistics released for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Ceduna SA2 have a median income of $54,794 and an average income of $66,295. This is slightly underneath the national average, but higher than the Regional SA median of $48,920 and average of $58,933. Adjusted for a 10.17% increase in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current figures would be roughly $60,367 for the median and $73,037 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reports that individual incomes are at the 46th percentile ($788 per week), and household incomes are at the 29th percentile.
Income distribution data shows that 29.1% of the population (830 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which aligns with regional patterns where 27.5% of the population are in this bracket. Housing costs consume a manageable portion of earnings, with 88.0% of income kept, but disposable income is below average at the 34th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ceduna had 1,021 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 2% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $220 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,251 a month. Rent absorbs 15.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential architecture in Ceduna at the time of the latest Census consisted of 90.9% separate houses and 9.1% alternative options like semi-detached dwellings, apartments, or other structures, compared to Regional SA where separate houses made up 88.5% and alternative options accounted for 11.5%. Home ownership in Ceduna was lower than the Regional SA average, standing at 31.7%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (27.5%) or rented (40.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,251, which is higher than the Regional SA average of $1,153, while the median weekly rent was $220, matching the Regional SA figure of $220.
Compared to the national figures, Ceduna's median mortgage payment is well below the Australian average of $1,863, and the median weekly rent is far lower than the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ceduna counted 1,021 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,080 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 26% are couples with children, against 28% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 67.0%, which is composed of couples with children (25.6%), couples without children (27.8%), and single parent households (11.9%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 33.0% of households, consisting of lone person households (30.1%) and group households (3.1%). The median household size is 2.4 residents, which is larger than the Regional SA average of 2.3.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
14.5% of adults in Ceduna hold a university qualification, including 10.6% with a bachelor degree and 2.1% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 94% of areas nationally. A further 28.8% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 610 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 822 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational outcomes present a clear area for development, as university qualification rates (14.5%) are well below the national rate of 30.4%. This situation presents a challenge as well as a possibility for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 10.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational and technical training is common, with 38.6% of residents aged 15 and over possessing a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (28.8%). Engagement in learning is high, with 28.1% of the population enrolled in an educational institution.
This includes 13.0% of residents in primary schools, 6.9% in secondary schools, and 3.2% in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Ceduna means driving: households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.0% of residents in Ceduna report no long-term health condition. 4.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
The local community experiences notable health difficulties, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and the rate of chronic conditions, with common ailments affecting both young and old cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is slightly lower than the average SA2 area, with around 52% of the population (~1,486 people) having coverage, compared to 48.9% in Regional SA. Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical diagnoses, affecting 7.3% and 7.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 70.0% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, which is higher than the 62.5% recorded across Regional SA.
Health outcomes for working-age residents are generally typical. Residents aged 65 and over make up 20.2% of the population (577 individuals), which is lower than the Regional SA rate of 27.1%. Senior health outcomes are strong, with national rankings exceeding those of the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Ceduna is largely Australian-born, at 90.9% of residents, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.0%) and Australian (26.7%). 18.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Ceduna is lower than average, with citizens making up 88.6% of the population, Australian-born residents accounting for 90.9%, and English-only speakers at home making up 89.8%. Christianity is the predominant religious affiliation, representing 48.7% of the community. The most notable relative difference is in the Other religious category, which accounts for 1.5% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional SA. In terms of ancestral backgrounds, the three largest groups in Ceduna are English at 27.0% of the population (which is lower than the regional average of 32.5%), Australian at 26.7%, and Australian Aboriginal at 18.5% (which is significantly higher than the regional average of 3.3%).
There are also differences in other backgrounds: German ancestry represents 6.4% of the population (compared to 8.2% regionally), Greek represents 2.2% (compared to 0.6% regionally), and Indian represents 1.5% (compared to 0.3% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ceduna is 39. 23.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents is 39, which is lower than the Regional SA median of 47 and close to the national average of 38. The population shows a high concentration of 25 to 34 year-olds (13.5%), whereas the 65 to 74 age bracket (11.4%) is smaller than that of Regional SA. Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 10.3% to 12.2% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.7% to 7.2%. In contrast, the proportion of 45 to 54 year-olds has decreased from 13.7% to 10.7%.
Looking forward to 2041, age projections indicate notable changes in demographics. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 44% (89 people), rising from 205 to 295. Combined cohorts aged 65 and over are expected to represent 80% of total population growth, showing an aging trend. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts are projected to decrease in size.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ceduna
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 22 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,697 at the 2021 Census → 2,854 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (406011129). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.