Yarralumla
Statistical Area - sa2

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Yarralumla's population, as of Aug 2025, is approximately 3,104 people. This figure represents a decrease of 16 individuals from the 2021 Census count of 3,120 people, marking a 0.5% reduction. The estimated resident population of 3,104 in June 2024, along with 4 validated new addresses since the Census date, supports this decrease. This results in a population density ratio of 430 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person and potential for further development. Overseas migration has been the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also based on 2022. Based on projected demographic shifts, Yarralumla is expected to experience population growth just below the Australian median for statistical areas. By 2041, the population is projected to increase by 324 persons, representing a 10.4% rise over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Yarralumla has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 57 homes. As of FY26, there has been 1 approval recorded so far. On average, around 0.2 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction cost value of new homes over this period was $666,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY26, $31.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, Yarralumla records significantly lower building activity, which is around 59.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, although development activity has increased recently. All recent development in Yarralumla has consisted of detached dwellings, preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Notably, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating strong demand for family homes. With around 208 people per approval, Yarralumla reflects a low-density area. Looking ahead, Yarralumla is projected to grow by approximately 322 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Yarralumla has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones include Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of June 2025, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.4%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. There were 1,590 residents in work while workforce participation was 58.1%, significantly lower than ACT's 69.6%. Key industries for employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. Professional & technical shows notable concentration with levels at 1.7 times the regional average, while public administration & safety has lower representation at 27.0% compared to the regional average of 30.4%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force by 1.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. ACT recorded employment growth of 1.9% with unemployment falling by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Yarralumla's growth could be approximately 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla's median income among taxpayers was $86,986 and average income stood at $132,955 in the financial year 2022. These figures are significantly higher than those for the Australian Capital Territory, which were $68,678 and $83,634 respectively. Based on a 13.6% growth rate since financial year 2022, as per the Wage Price Index, estimated median income in Yarralumla would be approximately $98,816 and average income around $151,037 by September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Yarralumla rank highly nationally, with household, family and personal incomes all falling between the 99th and 99th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 43.3% of residents (1,344 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 34.3%. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 55.6% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Yarralumla's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Yarralumla, as per the latest Census, 65.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 34.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 40.7% houses and 59.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarralumla stood at 49.2%, with mortgaged properties at 27.8% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,425, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,275. The median weekly rent in Yarralumla was $547, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $500. Nationally, Yarralumla's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,425 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households making up 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla has a significantly higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 62.4% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 46.8% in the SA4 region. This advantage is driven by Bachelor degrees (33.1%), postgraduate qualifications (22.9%), and graduate diplomas (6.4%). Vocational pathways account for 15.9%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education. Yarralumla Primary School serves the area, with an enrollment of 322 students as of 2021. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with ICSEA score of 1133 indicating significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement. Secondary options are available in surrounding areas due to limited local capacity (10.4 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 31.2).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarralumla has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 1,987 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in Yarralumla is rated as good, with residents typically located 215 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 283 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 99 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarralumla's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Yarralumla residents have a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 82% of the total population (2,554 people) has private health cover, compared to 78.0% in Australian Capital Territory and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively.

About 67.0% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 69.8% in Australian Capital Territory. Around 29.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (927 people), higher than the 19.9% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors in Yarralumla are particularly strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Yarralumla was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla was found to have a higher level of cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 17.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Yarralumla, making up 47.2% of its population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Yarralumla compared to the Australian Capital Territory, comprising 0.6% versus 0.6%.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are English at 25.8%, Australian at 20.6%, and Irish at 11.5%. Some ethnic groups have notable divergences in representation: Welsh is overrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Croatian at 1.1% versus 0.9%, and South African at 0.8% against a regional average of 0.3%.

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years are particularly prominent, making up 12.8% of the population, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 6%. This concentration is well above the national average of 6%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.6% to 12.8%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 10.4% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has declined from 17.0% to 13.6% and the 25-34 group dropped from 6.7% to 5.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Yarralumla. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 100%, adding 107 residents to reach 215. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 52% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 25-34 cohorts.