Yarralumla

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Yarralumla's population was around 3,230 as of May 2026. This showed an increase of 110 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,120. The change was inferred from ABS data: estimated resident population of 3,154 in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 448 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 98.6% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 302 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 7.0% over 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Yarralumla has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 57 homes. In FY26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.2 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This suggests new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction cost of new homes was $525,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $31.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Yarralumla records lower building activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person. This typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings but recent periods show increased development activity.

All recent development in Yarralumla has been detached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Notably, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (65.0% at Census), indicating strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Yarralumla reflects a low-density area, with around 208 people per approval. By 2041, it is projected to grow by 226 residents based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Yarralumla has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4%. As of December 2025, 1,570 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.5% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was at 58.9%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 70.5%. According to Census responses, 18.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The key industries of employment among residents were public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. Professional & technical services had notable concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average, while public administration & safety showed lower representation at 27.0% compared to the regional average of 30.4%.

Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on the count of Census working population to local population. In the 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 1.4%, and labour force increased by 1.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarralumla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla SA2 has an exceptionally high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $89,958 and the average income stands at $130,157. These figures compare to those of Australian Capital Territory's which are $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $99,350 (median) and $143,745 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Yarralumla rank highly nationally, between the 98th and 98th percentiles. Distribution data shows that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 43.3% of residents (1,398 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 34.3%. Yarralumla demonstrates considerable affluence with 55.6% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census data shows that in Yarralumla, 65.2% of dwellings are houses while the remaining 34.9% consist of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types of dwellings. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory has a slightly higher proportion of other dwellings at 36.7%. Home ownership in Yarralumla stands at 49.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 27.8% and rented dwellings comprising 23.0% of the total. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $3,425, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Yarralumla is recorded at $547, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's figure of $450. Nationally, Yarralumla's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.5% of all households, consisting of 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla's residents aged 15+ have a high level of educational attainment, with 62.4% holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 33.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.9%) and graduate diplomas (6.4%). Vocational pathways account for 15.9%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%. Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarralumla has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 71 different routes that together facilitate 4,395 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically living within 215 metres of the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while cycling accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 627 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 219 weekly trips per stop.

Yarralumla's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Yarralumla's health outcomes show remarkable results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 80% of Yarralumla's total population (2,596 people) have private health cover, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 62.4%, and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. Notably, 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents in Yarralumla have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 30.7%, with 990 people falling into this age group, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 14.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Yarralumla are particularly strong and generally align with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Yarralumla was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla, found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, had 17.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity was the main religion in Yarralumla, comprising 47.2%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.6%, compared to 0.2% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (25.8%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (11.5%). Notable divergences included Welsh at 0.9% (vs regional 0.6%), Croatian at 1.1% (vs regional 0.9%), and South Australian at 0.8% (vs regional 0.3%).

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, which is significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 13.6% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 6.4%. This is in contrast to the Australian Capital Territory figures where the 75-84 age group comprises 6.1%. Between 2021 and the present day, the percentage of the population aged 75-84 has increased from 8.6% to 13.6%, while those aged 15-24 have increased from 10.4% to 11.9%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 65-74 has decreased from 17.0% to 13.7%, and those aged 35-44 have dropped from 11.0% to 9.5%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Yarralumla. The cohort of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 80%, adding 87 residents to reach a total of 197. Senior residents (aged 65 and above) will drive 50% of population growth, highlighting the trend towards an aging demographic. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 25-34 years old.