Yarralumla

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Yarralumla's population is around 3,253 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 133 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,120 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,102 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 451 persons per square kilometer. Yarralumla's population growth rate of 4.3% since the census positions it within 2.1 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 6.4%. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected. The area is expected to increase by 324 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Yarralumla has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 57 homes. As of FY26, 1 approval has been recorded. On average, 0.2 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost of new homes in Yarralumla is $525,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $31.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, Yarralumla records significantly lower building activity, which is 59.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, although development activity has increased recently.

All recent development in Yarralumla has been comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature. This focus on detached housing attracts space-seeking buyers and indicates strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 208 people per approval, Yarralumla reflects a low-density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Yarralumla is expected to grow by 173 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Yarralumla has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%.

In comparison to Australian Capital Territory (ACT), Yarralumla had an unemployment rate of 1.3% lower and workforce participation was significantly lower at 60.2% compared to ACT's 72.5%. According to Census responses, 18.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical services with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 27.0% compared to the regional average of 30.4%. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force grew by 0.9%, and unemployment rate fell by 0.7 percentage points. For comparison, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4%, labour force growth of 1.2%, with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarralumla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla SA2 has an exceptionally high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $89,958 and average income stands at $130,157, compared to ACT's figures of $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $98,288 (median) and $142,210 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Yarralumla rank highly nationally, between the 98th and 98th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 43.3% of residents (1,408 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 34.3%. Yarralumla demonstrates considerable affluence with 55.6% earning over $3,000 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Yarralumla, as per the latest Census evaluation, 65.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 34.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs slightly from the Australian Capital Territory's ratio of 63.3% houses to 36.7% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Yarralumla was 49.2%, with mortgaged properties at 27.8% and rented dwellings at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,425, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. Weekly rent in Yarralumla was recorded at $547, compared to the ACT's $450. Nationally, Yarralumla's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 62.4% have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. In the SA4 region, this figure stands at 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common (33.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.9%) and graduate diplomas (6.4%).

Vocational pathways account for 15.9%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%. Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 7.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarralumla has 20 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 71 different routes that collectively facilitate 4395 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically residing 215 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 86% of residents, while cycling accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 627 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 219 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarralumla's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Yarralumla's health outcomes show remarkable results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 80% of Yarralumla's total population (2,615 people) has private health cover, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 62.4%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. Notably, 67.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 70.2%. Working-age residents in Yarralumla exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 29.9% (972 people), than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Yarralumla are strong, largely aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Yarralumla was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 17.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Yarralumla, accounting for 47.2%. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.6%, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 0.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (25.8%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (11.5%). Some other ethnicities showed notable differences: Welsh at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.6%, Croatian at 1.1% versus 0.9%, and South African at 0.8% against a regional average of 0.3%.

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years are particularly prominent, making up 12.8% of the population, compared to a national figure of 6%. This is significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 5.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.6% to 12.8%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 10.4% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has declined from 17.0% to 13.6%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 6.7% to 5.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Yarralumla, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 91%, adding 102 residents to reach a total of 215. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 57% of population growth, underscoring trends towards demographic aging. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 25-34 age cohorts.