Sandringham - Black Rock

Population growth drivers in Sandringham - Black Rock are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Sandringham - Black Rock's population was 18,172 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects an increase of 814 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,358. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,024 in June 2024 and an additional 146 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,826 persons per square kilometer, placing Sandringham - Black Rock in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Sandringham - Black Rock has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration during this period.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Sandringham - Black Rock is expected to grow by 1,743 persons to reach a total of 19,915 by 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Sandringham - Black Rock among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Sandringham-Black Rock has recorded approximately 127 residential property approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25639 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved in FY-26 to date. Over these five years, there was an average of zero new residents per dwelling constructed annually.

This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new properties is $686,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaling $39.0 million have been registered, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Sandringham-Black Rock has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person but ranks among the 89th percentile nationally for areas assessed. Building activity has accelerated in recent years, with 16.0% detached dwellings and 84.0% townhouses or apartments approved.

This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, marking a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 52.0% houses. Sandringham-Black Rock has a population density of around 98 people per approval, reflecting its status as a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the region is projected to add 1,593 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Sandringham - Black Rock has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Sanctuary Sandringham, The Coterie, Beach Point Sandringham, and Miramar. Below is a list of particularly relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Sandringham - Black Rock has been broadly consistent with national averages

Sandringham - Black Rock has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%.

As of September 2025, 9,761 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is 61.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.6 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.6% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force increased by 0.4%, while employment decreased by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. By November 25, 2025, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Sandringham - Black Rock's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Sandringham - Black Rock SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $67,010 and an average income of $118,008. These figures are exceptionally high nationally, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $75,158 (median) and $132,358 (average). Census data reveals Sandringham - Black Rock's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 86th percentiles. Income distribution shows 30.3% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly, contrasting with the region where 32.8% earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 41.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 13.6% of income, ranking residents in the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Sandringham - Black Rock displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Sandringham - Black Rock's dwelling structure in 2016 comprised 52.5% houses and 47.5% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 62.6% houses and 37.4% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 44.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.5% and rented ones at 22.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, while the median weekly rent figure was $486. Nationally, Sandringham - Black Rock's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Sandringham - Black Rock has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.5% of all households, including 32.7% that are couples with children, 29.5% that are couples without children, and 7.8% that are single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households making up 28.0% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Sandringham - Black Rock demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Sandringham - Black Rock's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 47.4% possess university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent (30.8%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways account for 23.5%, with advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 11.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sandringham - Black Rock has 69 active public transport stops. These stops are served by a mix of train and bus services along 10 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 5,481 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 199 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency across all routes averages 783 trips per day, equating to approximately 79 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Sandringham - Black Rock is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Sandringham - Black Rock exhibits superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 79% of its total population (14,337 people) has private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.9% and 6.7% of residents respectively. A substantial majority, 70.8%, reported no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 72.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 26.2% (4,768 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 22.9%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors in Sandringham - Black Rock are particularly robust, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Sandringham - Black Rock was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Sandringham-Black Rock has a cultural diversity level above average, with 12.2% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 26.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Sandringham-Black Rock, comprising 48.1% of people. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 3.1%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (29.6%), Australian (21.9%), and Irish (10.3%). Scottish ancestry is notably higher at 9.5% than the regional average of 8.3%. Russian ancestry stands at 0.6%, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 0.9%, while Hungarian ancestry remains similar at 0.4%.

Sandringham - Black Rock hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Sandringham - Black Rock's median age is 48 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 13.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 6.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 7.4% to 9.3%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.8% to 14.6%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Sandringham - Black Rock. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 51%, adding 858 residents to reach a total of 2,558. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 92% of the population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 and 55-64.