Mornington (Qld)

Mornington is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Mornington (Qld) is around 1,847 people. This reflects an increase of one person since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,846 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,884 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mornington's 0.1% growth since census positions it within 2.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 51 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 25 to 34 age group, which is projected to expand by 49 people.

The level of residential development activity in Mornington is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Mornington has seen limited development activity over the past five years, with an average of less than one approval per year. This reflects its rural nature, where housing needs drive development rather than broad market demand. Yearly growth figures can vary considerably due to low approval numbers.

Compared to Rest of Qld and national averages, Mornington has much lower development activity. With population expected to remain stable or decline, pressure on housing is likely to be reduced, potentially benefiting buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Mornington should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Mornington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region: Mount Isa Future Ready Economy Roadmap, Mount Isa Mines - Black Star Open Cut Project, Mount Isa Police Accommodation and Justice System Resourcing, Essential Pipeline Works - City Low and high Systems are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Mornington remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Mornington has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 4.4%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,171 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.3% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Mornington stands at 79.7%, significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Census responses indicate that only 2.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries include mining, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Mornington specializes in mining with an employment share 8.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 4.2% compared to Rest of Qld's 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.9% while employment declined by 0.8%, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point fall in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Mornington. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mornington's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year ending June 2023 shows that Mornington suburb has a high national median income of $67,869 and an average income of $77,852. This contrasts with Queensland's rest-of-state figures, where the median income is $53,146 and the average is $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $74,595 (median) and $85,567 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Mornington's individual earnings at the 85th percentile nationally are $1,100 weekly. The earnings profile shows that 32.1% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (592 individuals), similar to the surrounding region where 31.7% fall into this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power.

Mornington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mornington, as per the latest Census evaluation, 47.8% of dwellings were houses while 52.2% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mornington stood at 15.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.5% and rented ones at 56.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Mornington was recorded at $245, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Mornington's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mornington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 50.9% of all households, including 21.3% couples with children, 19.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up 49.1%, with lone person households at 44.5% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Mornington demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Mornington is notably high, with 26.4% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to 14.9% for the broader SA4 region and 16.6% for the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 7.2% while certificates make up 30.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 15.4% in primary, 11.3% in secondary, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Mornington is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mornington faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is high, at approximately 58% of the total population (around 1,072 people), compared to 52.5% in the rest of Queensland. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 9.1 and 6.4% of residents respectively. However, 72.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. The area has 9.0% of residents aged 65 and over (166 people), lower than the 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally in line with the overall population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mornington was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mornington's population showed higher than average cultural diversity, with 22.8% born overseas and 14.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mornington, accounting for 51.4%, slightly lower than the rest of Queensland's 52.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.6%), English (19.3%), and Australian Aboriginal (13.4%).

Notably, Maori representation was higher at 2.8% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Spanish was 1.0% versus 0.3%, and Filipino was 3.6% against the region's 0.9%.

Mornington's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Mornington is 34 years, which is notably lower than the average of 41 for the Rest of Queensland and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Queensland, Mornington has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 at 19.8%, but fewer residents aged 65-74 at 4.9%. This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 25 to 34 years has grown from 18.0% to 19.8% of Mornington's population, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 5.9% to 7.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 14.9% to 13.2%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 11.1% to 9.4%. By 2041, Mornington is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 9% (34 people), reaching a total of 400 from 365. Meanwhile, both the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.