Kirribilli

Kirribilli is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the Kirribilli statistical area (Lv2) as of November 2025 is around 3,829. This reflects an increase of 200 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,629. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,808, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 8,904 persons per square kilometer, placing Kirribilli (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 5.5% since the 2021 Census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 5.4%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a population increase just below the median of national areas, with an expected expansion of 204 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 6.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kirribilli, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kirribilli averaged around 4 new dwelling approvals per year.

Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 20 homes were approved, with another 3 approved so far in FY26. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice compared to Greater Sydney. Nationally, Kirribilli ranks at the 43rd percentile for building activity per person, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing homes. Recent construction activity has intensified, consisting entirely of attached dwellings, which offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. With around 384 people per dwelling approval, Kirribilli shows a developed market.

By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Kirribilli's population will grow by 243 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match this growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kirribilli has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects potentially impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Waruda Kirribilli, Glenferrie Lodge Hotel Renovation And Extension, Carabella, and Kirribilli Harbour. The following details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Kirribilli recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kirribilli has a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector notably represented. Its unemployment rate is 5.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 2,348 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kirribilli is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in professional & technical services (2.0 times the regional level), finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Retail trade has a limited presence with only 5.5% employment compared to the regional average of 9.3%.

Many Kirribilli residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.2% while employment decreased by 1.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate growth of 6.6% over five years and 15.1% over ten years for Kirribilli, based on its current employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Kirribilli has an exceptionally high income level nationally, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kirribilli is $81,846, while the average income stands at $143,062. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median and average incomes are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kirribilli would be approximately $89,098 (median) and $155,737 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows individual earnings in Kirribilli stand out at the 98th percentile nationally, with a weekly income of $1,598. Income analysis reveals that the predominant cohort spans 29.0% of locals (1,110 people) in the $4000+ category, diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 39.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile nationally. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Kirribilli features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kirribilli's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 5.6% houses and 94.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 17.9% houses and 82.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kirribilli stood at 23.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 11.3% and rented ones at 64.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, lower than Sydney metro's $3,085. Median weekly rent in Kirribilli was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $582. Nationally, Kirribilli's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kirribilli features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 44.6% of all households, including 8.8% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 4.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 55.4%, with lone person households at 50.3% and group households comprising 5.1%. The median household size is 1.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.1.

Kirribilli demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kirribilli's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 65.9% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 40.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (21.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways account for 17.1% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 7.5%.

A significant 23.1% of the population is currently engaged in formal education, including 10.4% in tertiary education, 4.2% in primary education, and 3.2% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kirribilli has 15 operational public transport stops. These are a mix of ferry and bus services. There are 19 different routes serving these stops, together offering 3,103 weekly passenger trips.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 96 meters. Daily service frequency averages 443 trips across all routes, resulting in about 206 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kirribilli's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Kirribilli residents with standard common health conditions across young and old age cohorts. Private health cover rate is high at approximately 83% of the total population (3,185 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are most common, affecting 7.1% and 7.0% respectively. 70.0% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 75.2%. The area has 26.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,014 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 20.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, better than the general population in health metrics.

Kirribilli was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kirribilli had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 20.8% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 41.3% born overseas. The predominant religion was Christianity, at 47.2%. Judaism was notably overrepresented in Kirribilli compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 0.8% versus 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (26.4%), Australian (15.7%), and Irish (11.5%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: French was equally represented at 1.1%, Russian was slightly higher at 0.8% versus 0.7%, and Polish was also higher at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 0.9%.

Kirribilli hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kirribilli's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 22.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 5-14 cohort stands at 3.4%. This 25-34 concentration is significantly above the national average of 14.5%. Post the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 6.3% to 8.0%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has decreased from 14.5% to 13.0% and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 11.6% to 10.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant shifts in Kirribilli's age profile. The 85+ group is set to grow by 102%, reaching 333 people from 164. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 85% of the population growth, while the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.