Tatiara

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tatiara reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Tatiara's population was around 7,190 as of February 2026. This showed an increase of 299 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,891. The growth was inferred from ABS estimates; the resident population in June 2024 was 7,071, with 63 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1.1 persons per square kilometer. Tatiara's 4.3% growth since the census is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA3 area (6.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Projected demographic shifts suggest lower quartile growth for Australia's non-metropolitan areas; Tatiara is expected to expand by 244 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 1.7% over the 17 years based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tatiara, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Tatiara has averaged approximately 18 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 94 homes. As of FY26, 6 approvals have been recorded. This averages to around 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value for new homes is $305,000.

In this financial year, $19.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to the Rest of SA, Tatiara shows about half the construction activity per person, placing it at the 34th percentile nationally, indicating limited buyer options but strong demand for established dwellings. This reflects the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. All new constructions are standalone homes, preserving low density and attracting space-seeking buyers.

There are approximately 471 people per dwelling approval in the area. Future projections estimate Tatiara adding 125 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tatiara has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 4thth percentile nationally

The impact of local infrastructure changes on an area's performance is significant. Two projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially influential: Bordertown West Residential Development - Stage 1, Riddoch Highway Overtaking Lane, Princes Highway Upgrades (South East SA), and Lower Limestone Coast Water Allocation Plan. The following list details those considered most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Tatiara performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Tatiara has a diverse workforce with equal representation of white and blue collar jobs. Its manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.6%.

The unemployment rate in Tatiara is 3.9%, below Rest of SA's rate of 5.3%. Workforce participation is high at 72.8%, compared to Rest of SA's 58.5%. According to Census data, only 13.4% of residents work from home. Leading industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, manufacturing, and retail trade.

Tatiara specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share twice the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 8.1%, compared to 13.9% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.6% while labour force grew by 1.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tatiara's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 4.1% over five years and 10.1% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Tatiara SA2's median income among taxpayers was $47,875 and the average income stood at $57,738 in financial year 2023. This compares to figures for Rest of SA which were $48,920 and $58,933 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $52,088 (median) and $62,819 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in 2021, personal income ranked at the 52nd percentile ($817 weekly), while household income sat at the 34th percentile. The earnings profile showed that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captured 34.7% of the community (2,494 individuals). Housing costs were manageable with 91.9% retained, though disposable income sat below average at the 42nd percentile.

Tatiara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Tatiara, as per the latest Census, 96.1% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 4.0% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro SA's figures of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatiara stood at 40.5%, similar to Non-Metro SA's rate. Mortgaged dwellings constituted 35.6% and rented ones, 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $867, lower than Non-Metro SA's average of $1,153. The median weekly rent in Tatiara was $200, compared to Non-Metro SA's $220. Nationally, Tatiara's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $867 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tatiara has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.1% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for 30.9%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Rest of SA average of 2.3.

Tatiara faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (29.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tatiara has three operational public transport stops served by two distinct routes. These routes combined offer fifteen weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered limited, with residents usually situated 2852 meters from the nearest stop. Residents primarily commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars are predominantly used for transportation at a rate of 90%, while walking accounts for 7%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, only 13.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages two trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly five weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Tatiara is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Tatiara shows above-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is found to be very low at approximately 48% of the total population, around 3,465 people, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.5 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 71.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 62.5% across Rest of SA. The under-65 population has better health outcomes than average. The area has 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 1,506 people, which is lower than the 27.1% in Rest of SA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Tatiara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatiara's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.4% of its population being citizens, 85.8% born in Australia, and 90.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Tatiara, comprising 46.8% of people. Islam was overrepresented compared to the rest of South Australia, with 3.6% of Tatiara's population identifying as Muslim versus 0.5%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.0%), English (30.4%), and German (9.4%). Notably, Filipino (1.6%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Maori (0.5%) exceeded their regional representation of 0.2%, and Korean (0.2%) also showed higher than regional levels (0.0%).

Tatiara's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tatiara's median age is 41 years, which is notably lower than Rest of SA's 47 but somewhat older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of SA average, the 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Tatiara at 14.2%, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.5% to 14.2% of Tatiara's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.7% to 11.3%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Tatiara's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 156 people (an 85% rise) from 183 to 340. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 72% of total population growth, reflecting Tatiara's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts.