Tatiara

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tatiara reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Tatiara's population is 7,115 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 224 people, a rise of 3.3% since the 2021 Census which recorded 6,891 inhabitants. The growth is inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 7,075 and 57 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a population density of 1.1 persons per square kilometer. Tatiara's 3.3% growth since the census compares favorably with the SA3 area's 5.4%, indicating strong fundamentals for growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.2% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. By 2041, non-metropolitan Australia is projected to grow at a lower quartile rate, with Tatiara expected to expand by 244 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 2.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tatiara, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Tatiara averaged approximately 18 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 94 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 6 approvals have been recorded. This averages to about 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction value for new homes is $305,000.

In FY-26, $19.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Rest of SA, Tatiara has about half the construction activity per person and ranks at the 34th percentile nationally, indicating limited buyer options but strong demand for established dwellings. New construction consists solely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are an estimated 471 people in the area per dwelling approval.

Future projections suggest Tatiara will add 200 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Current development patterns indicate new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tatiara has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 4thth percentile nationally

Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly: Bordertown West Residential Development - Stage 1 and Riddoch Highway Overtaking Lane. Other key projects include Princes Highway Upgrades (South East SA) and Lower Limestone Coast Water Allocation Plan, though they may have lesser relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Tatiara performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Tatiara has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% and estimated employment growth of 0.6% in the past year as of September 2025.

In this month, 4,234 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, below Rest of SA's rate of 5.3%. Workforce participation was high at 66.2%, compared to Rest of SA's 54.1%. Key employment industries included agriculture, forestry & fishing, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area had a strong focus on agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance had limited presence at 8.1%, compared to 13.9% regionally. While local jobs exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.6%, while labour force grew by 1.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.7 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of SA, where employment rose by 0.3%, labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose by 1.9 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, suggest national employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tatiara's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 4.1% over five years and 10.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for local population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Tatiara SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $47,625 and an average income of $54,969 in the financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages of $46,889 (median) and $56,582 (average) for Rest of SA during the same period. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.83%, estimated median income would be approximately $53,735 and average income $62,022. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranked at the 52nd percentile ($817 weekly) and household income at the 34th percentile. The earnings profile showed that 34.7% of individuals earned between $1,500 - $2,999 per week, similar to regional levels where 27.5% fell into this bracket. Housing costs took up a manageable 8.1% of income, but disposable income was below average at the 42nd percentile.

Tatiara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Tatiara as 96.1% houses and 4.0% other dwellings. Non-Metro SA had 87.6% houses and 12.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatiara was 40.5%, similar to Non-Metro SA. Mortgaged dwellings were 35.6% and rented dwellings were 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $867, below Non-Metro SA's average of $1,083. Median weekly rent in Tatiara was $200, compared to Non-Metro SA's $205. Nationally, Tatiara's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $867 versus Australia's average of $1,863. Rents in Tatiara were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tatiara has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.1% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.9%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 3.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of SA average of 2.3.

Tatiara faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (29.6%). Educational participation is high at 27.5%, with 13.2% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates three operational public transport stops in Tatiara. These include a mix of train and bus services. Five distinct routes serve these stops, offering a total of 25 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents generally located 2852 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Tatiara's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Tatiara residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover rate is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3,358 people), compared to 49.4% across Rest of SA and a national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 8.5%) and asthma (7.0%). Around 71.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Rest of SA. As of 2021, approximately 20.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,465 people), lower than the 23.3% in Rest of SA. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Tatiara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatiara's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.4% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 46.8%. Islam is overrepresented, making up 3.6%, compared to 1.1% across Rest of SA.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (34.0%), English (30.4%), and German (9.4%). Notably, Filipino (1.6%) Maori (0.5%) and Korean (0.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Tatiara's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tatiara's median age is 41 years, which is notably lower than Rest of SA's 47 but somewhat older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of SA average, the 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Tatiara at 14.1%, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.5% to 14.1% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.7% to 11.5%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Tatiara's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand notably, increasing by 171 people (35%) from 483 to 655. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 73% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts.