Flynn (NT)

Population growth drivers in Flynn are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Flynn's population is around 5,164 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 579 people (12.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,585 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,150 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 302 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Flynn's 12.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 50.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is applying growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth for Australia's regional areas is projected, with the area expected to expand by 868 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 16.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Flynn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Flynn has recorded around 4 residential properties granted approval each year, with 24 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 2 so far in FY-26. With an average of 11.6 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $383,000. Additionally, $2.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Relative to the Rest of NT, Flynn shows approximately 57% of the construction activity per person and ranks in the 18th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established dwellings, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity consists of 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 855 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Future projections show Flynn adding 854 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Flynn has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 9thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Regional Skate and Play Precinct, Jim McConville Oval Lighting Upgrade, Gillen Oval Multi-Sport Precinct, and Melanka Accelerated Accommodation Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Flynn performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Flynn features a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.7%, and 0.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 3,878 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 4.4% below Regional NT's rate of 6.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (98.1% compared to Regional NT's 71.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 2.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and retail trade. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.3% of Flynn's workforce compared to 5.0% in Regional NT. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.9% while labour force increased by 1.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This compares to Regional NT, where employment grew by 0.7%, labour force expanded by 1.1%, and unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Flynn. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.3% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Flynn SA2's median income among taxpayers is $66,426, with an average of $74,522. This is very high nationally, and compares to Regional NT's median of $53,572 and average of $63,776. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $72,032 (median) and $80,812 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Flynn, between the 74th and 84th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate 38.5% of the population (1,988 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the area showing 33.6% in the same category. After housing costs, residents retain 91.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Flynn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 70.1% houses and 30.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NT's 75.6% houses and 24.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Flynn was in line with that of Regional NT, at 14.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (42.2%) or rented (43.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional NT average at $0, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Regional NT's $1,733 and $150. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 70.9% of all households, comprising 30.6% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 14.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 22.6% and group households comprising 6.3% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is smaller than the Regional NT average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in Flynn fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (28.5% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA4 region average of 20.1% and that of Rest of NT (20.1%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 34.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (24.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.8% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 13 active transport stops operating within Flynn, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 83 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 87%, with 5% walking and 4% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 2.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 11 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Flynn's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Flynn's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A fairly standard level of common health conditions is seen across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~2,897 people), compared to 51.6% across Regional NT.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.7% and 5.5% of residents, respectively, while 76.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 78.4% across Regional NT. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (478 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Flynn was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 29.8% of its population born overseas and 30.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Flynn is Christianity, which makes up 45.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 2.8% of the population, compared to 5.2% across Regional NT.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Flynn are Australian, comprising 20.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.9%, English, comprising 19.0% of the population, and Australian Aboriginal, comprising 15.6% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 43.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of Flynn (vs 0.7% regionally), Samoan at 1.0% (vs 0.2%) and New Zealand at 1.1% (vs 0.5%).

Flynn's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 33 years, Flynn's median age modestly exceeds the Regional NT average of 31 yet is substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Regional NT, Flynn has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (17.3%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (16.2%). Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.3% to 14.7% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 16.1% to 17.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 19.1% to 16.2% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 15.8% to 14.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Flynn. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 33% (189 people), reaching 772 from 582.