Development in Great Lakes

NSW

Building approvals, live development applications and major projects across the Great Lakes statistical area — covering Mid-Coast.

SA3 10801 Rest of NSW 34,265 residents 4 statistical areas
Approved · FY25 242 dwellings approved
vs 5-yr average 221 average approvals a year
In the queue 65 live applications
Major projects 9 3 already under construction
Data Sources ABSCouncil planning portals ABS to June 2026 · Refreshed ABS QuickStats SA3 10801 How we calculate this

The Pipeline Development Pipeline in Great Lakes

1 Proposed 65 applications in assessment Leading · to August 2026 See applications ↓
2 Approved 242 dwellings approved in 2024-25, or 0.62 per 100 existing dwellings a year Official · ABS to June 2026 See approvals ↓
3 Building 9 major projects committed or under construction, 3 of them already on site Forward · completions to 2030+ See projects ↓
4 Delivered 779 new addresses verified since the 2021 Census, up 3.9% on the existing base Actual · to June 2026 Where it landed ↓
In the 2024-25 financial year the ABS recorded 242 dwelling approvals across Great Lakes. Right now, 65 development applications are lodged in the Mid-Coast local government area. AreaSearch tracks 9 major projects here that are committed or under construction, the largest being North Tuncurry Sustainable Community Development at an estimated $650m. On the ground, 779 new addresses have been verified since the 2021 Census — growth of 3.9% on the existing address base.

These four figures are deliberately not added together. An application, an approval and a project under construction are often the same building at three points in its life, measured by three different bodies with three different lags. Read them as a sequence, not a total.

Approved Building Approvals in Great Lakes

What councils and certifiers have formally permitted — the ABS series, published about four months in arrears.

Approvals are running at 0.62 per 100 existing dwellings a year, in line with the New South Wales rate of 0.59. The mix is genuinely split — 74% of recent approvals are detached houses and 26% are attached or higher-density dwellings. The mix being approved closely matches what is already standing — 76% houses against 73% of existing homes. The average approved dwelling is valued at $423,000 in construction cost.

Dwelling units approved each financial year. The dashed line is the five-year average of 221.

How intensively is it building?

Dwelling approvals a year per 100 existing dwellings.

Great Lakes 0.62
New South Wales 0.59
Australia 0.71

What is here, and what is coming

Detached houses as a share of existing homes, against the share of recent approvals.

Existing homes (2021 Census) 73%
Approved, last 5 years 76%
Approved, latest year 74%
Detached houses Apartments, townhouses & other

Approvals mix by year

Share of each year’s approvals.

2022
2023
2024
2025
2024-25
$87.0m
Residential work approved
2024-25
$27.0m
Commercial work approved
construction cost
$423,000
Average value per approved dwelling
last two years
165
Residents per approval

Supply & Demand Is Great Lakes Building Enough Homes?

The same approvals, measured against the population they have to house.

Great Lakes approves about 6.4 new dwellings a year for every 1,000 residents. Since the 2021 Census it has added 954 residents and 779 new addresses — about 1.2 extra people per home built, below the 2.4-person average household, so building has run ahead of population growth. Housing the population projected for 2041 implies roughly 98 new dwellings a year from here, which puts the recent approval rate of 221 a year comfortably ahead of what the projection needs.

Growth against supply since the Census

People added for every new address verified, against the size of an average local household.

People added per new home 1.2
Average household size 2.4

A bar longer than the household average means the area gained more residents than its new housing could hold, and the extra had to be absorbed by existing homes.

Approval rate against projected need

Dwellings a year: what is currently being approved, against what the 2041 population projection implies.

Approved (5-yr average) 221
Implied need to 2041 98

Implied need assumes the average household stays at today’s 2.4 people. Approvals are not completions, and not every approval is built.

ProposedLEADING · to August 2026 Development Applications in Great Lakes

What is being asked for right now — applications collected from council planning portals, before any of it reaches the ABS series above. AreaSearch tracks applications of material scale; routine minor works such as signage and fencing changes are not carried, so these are not counts of every application lodged. 11 of them carry an AreaSearch analyst assessment — look for the Analysed marker in the search below.

AreaSearch tracks 444 development applications of material scale lodged with council across Great Lakes, the most recent in August 2026. 65 of them are still in assessment. The biggest categories in the queue by value are aged care, mixed-use and multi-residential. Live applications account for about 28 proposed dwellings.

Estimated value of applications by development type. This is the clearest single picture of what kind of place Great Lakes is being asked to become. A further 1 application sit across 1 smaller category, too few to plot.

Where the applications stand

As reported by the council. Highlighted rows are applications still in assessment.

Determined 247
Approved 75
Under Assessment 50
On Exhibition 19
Withdrawn 17
Additional Information Requested 14

23 applications are still marked under assessment but were lodged more than 18 months ago. Councils often leave determined or abandoned applications open in their feeds, so they are counted here but excluded from the live queue above.

By local government area

Applications on record within each council area that overlaps Great Lakes. This counts applications inside this statistical area only — it is not a total for the council.

Mid-Coast 444

Recent applications in Great Lakes

By estimated cost of works, as lodged. Estimates are the applicant’s own figures and are not verified by AreaSearch.

Mixed-Use Precincts development Bulahdelah - Stroud · Additional Information Requested · lodged Oct 2025
$14.0m
Large Retail Developments Forster · Additional Information Requested · lodged Aug 2025
$5.0m
Large Retail Developments Forster-Tuncurry Surrounds · Under Assessment · lodged Oct 2025
$3.9m

BuildingFORWARD Major Projects & Infrastructure in Great Lakes

What is funded and moving — the projects large enough to change how Great Lakes works, ranked by committed value and how close they are to delivery.

AreaSearch tracks 9 current projects across Great Lakes. The largest is North Tuncurry Sustainable Community Development at an estimated $650m, due by 2053. That breaks down as 3 under construction, 3 approved and awaiting a start and 3 still in planning. The pipeline is weighted toward communities, health & medical and residential development.
North Tuncurry Sustainable Community Development
Approved $650m by 2053

North Tuncurry Sustainable Community Development

A major state significant precinct delivering approximately 2,100 new homes, a village centre, and 13 hectares of employment land on a 615-hectare site. The project, rezoned in March 2023, dedicates 327…

Tuncurry

Halliday Shores Retirement Village Expansion
Under construction $25m by 2027

Halliday Shores Retirement Village Expansion

Expansion of the Halliday Shores Retirement Village at Black Head Beach. The masterplanned retirement community continues to grow with development consent for an additional 143 villas, complementing the…

Tuncurry

Tuncurry Village Hub
Under construction $13m by 2026

Tuncurry Village Hub

Tuncurry Village Hub is a comprehensive refurbishment of the former Tuncurry Plaza, transforming the long-dormant 4790 square metre site into a contemporary shopping and lifestyle destination for the…

Tuncurry

Also in the pipeline

Lower Mid North Coast Health Service Project - Forster-Tuncurry Health Facility In planning · Health & Medical · by 2030 · Forster
$180m
Forster Gateway Development - The Lakes Way In planning · Communities · Forster
$85m
Forster Main Beach Masterplan Under construction · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2048 · Forster
$12m
6-12 Head Street Residential Development Site (Golden Sands Motor Inn) In planning · Communities · Forster
$8m
15 Manning Street Mixed-Use Development Approved · Residential Development · Tuncurry
1 Peel Street Residential Development Approved · Residential Development · Tuncurry

AI Generated Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project’s source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Beyond 2030: a further $662m across 2 projects with completion dates further out — mostly precinct-scale programs whose dates are indicative. Kept out of the chart so the years you can act on stay readable.

Estimated value of tracked projects by the year they are due to complete, stacked by how certain they are. The dark band is money already being spent; the pale band is still an intention. Estimates are indicative and mix infrastructure cost with whole-of-precinct development value, so read the shape rather than the totals.

Approvals Pipeline Development Applications in Great Lakes

Development applications around Great Lakes

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Applications
In the local catchment
Est. Value
Where disclosed
Under Assessment
Awaiting determination
Determined
Approved or decided
Approvals pipeline Status, location, timing and project scale

Loading development applications…

Lodged Address Description Type Distance Status

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

ProfessionalPRO Development Map for Great Lakes

Applications and major projects plotted where they are actually proposed, with the 14 projects AreaSearch tracks here on their own tab — filterable by type, delivery stage, area and committed value. To search every application on record rather than this sample, use the section above.

Distribution Where Development Is Happening in Great Lakes

Great Lakes covers 4 statistical areas. Follow any of them through for a full profile of population, housing, sales and amenity at local scale.
Map builder

Each area below opens a map builder on its own page — a tool for putting a map and a table into a report. Pick the place types you want plotted (schools, supermarkets, medical, child care, transport and the rest of what AreaSearch holds), add development applications as their own layer, drop your own points, then recolour, renumber and export the result as a table or CSV. A this area only toggle clips everything to the boundary you are looking at. Searches are charged against your credit balance — 1 credit per 40 results from AreaSearch data — and setting filters costs nothing until you search. The builder works on one suburb-sized area at a time, which is why it opens per area rather than across the whole of Great Lakes.

Forster area profile

No separate approvals series published
212 applications on record · 575 new addresses since 2021
Build a map

Forster-Tuncurry Surrounds area profile

No separate approvals series published
103 applications on record · 105 new addresses since 2021
Build a map

Tuncurry area profile

No separate approvals series published
60 applications on record · 38 new addresses since 2021
Build a map

Bulahdelah - Stroud area profile

No separate approvals series published
69 applications on record · 61 new addresses since 2021
Build a map

Planning Authorities Councils Covering Great Lakes

Development in Great Lakes is assessed within the Mid-Coast local government area. AreaSearch publishes development figures at ABS statistical boundaries rather than council boundaries. That is deliberate: the ABS issues a separate official building-approvals series for local government areas, and totals built up from statistical areas would not match it. Reporting at SA3 keeps every figure on this page reconcilable with the published ABS series.

Compare Nearby Development Hubs

The same view of building approvals, applications and major projects for areas neighbouring Great Lakes.

Data & Method Sources & Method for Great Lakes

The four tenses, and what each one can tell you

Proposed — development applications
Collected from council planning portals. The earliest signal available, but the least certain: many applications are amended, withdrawn or refused, values are the applicant’s own estimate, and coverage varies by council. This is a curated set, not the full council feed: AreaSearch carries applications of material scale and does not track routine minor works such as signage, fencing or small alterations, so the counts here are lower than a council’s own total lodgement figure and should not be compared with it. Applications still shown as under assessment more than 18 months after lodgement are reported separately and kept out of the live-queue figures: the age profile of open applications is sharply split between a genuine queue under a year old and a long tail of records councils never closed. Not every state publishes a cost of works — Queensland, the Northern Territory and the ACT publish none at all — so on those pages applications are counted rather than valued and no dollar figure is shown rather than a partial one. Treated here as a snapshot of the current queue only — AreaSearch does not chart application counts over time, because the history reflects when each portal was collected rather than when development happened.
Approved — ABS building approvals
The official series, aggregated to SA3 from ABS building approvals data, currently published to June 2026. Counts dwelling units approved, not buildings and not completions. The most recent financial year is annualised from nine months of data wherever it appears and is labelled as such.
Building — major projects
Projects tracked individually by AreaSearch from Infrastructure Australia, state infrastructure agencies, developer disclosures and council records. Values are estimates and delivery dates are targets. Ranked on this page by committed value and delivery stage rather than by distance.
Delivered — verified new addresses
New residential addresses verified in the national address register since the 2021 Census. This is the closest available measure of what has actually been built, though address creation can lead occupation and lags construction. It is not a completions count.

Boundaries

Great Lakes is Statistical Area Level 3 10801 in the ABS Australian Statistical Geography Standard (2021 edition), made up of 4 Statistical Areas Level 2. It has an estimated 34,265 residents, +2.9% since the 2021 Census.

Currency

MeasureSourceTo
Dwelling approvals, five-year average ABS / AreaSearch June 2026
House share of approvals ABS / AreaSearch June 2026
Residents per approval ABS / AreaSearch June 2026
Value per approved dwelling ABS / AreaSearch June 2026
Commercial work approved ABS / AreaSearch June 2026
Verified new addresses since the Census Address register / AreaSearch May 2026
Development applications Council planning portals August 2026
Major projects Infrastructure Australia / state agencies / AreaSearch Ongoing

Figures on this page are read live from the AreaSearch database each time it loads, so they update as soon as a source does.

Development in Great Lakes — common questions

How many new dwellings were approved in Great Lakes?

The ABS recorded 242 dwelling approvals across Great Lakes in the 2024-25 financial year, against a five-year average of 221 a year.

How many development applications are lodged in Great Lakes?

AreaSearch tracks 444 development applications of material scale across Great Lakes — routine minor works such as signage and fencing are not included, so this is not a count of every application lodged, of which 65 remain in assessment. Applications are assessed within the Mid-Coast local government area. The most recent application in our data was lodged in August 2026.

What major projects are planned for Great Lakes?

AreaSearch tracks 9 current major projects in Great Lakes, 3 of them under construction. The largest include North Tuncurry Sustainable Community Development, Halliday Shores Retirement Village Expansion and Tuncurry Village Hub.

Which council covers Great Lakes?

Great Lakes is an ABS Statistical Area Level 3. It is covered by the Mid-Coast local government area. AreaSearch publishes development figures at ABS statistical boundaries rather than council boundaries, so they reconcile with the official ABS series.

Is Great Lakes growing faster than the rest of New South Wales?

On development approvals, Great Lakes is adding new dwellings at about the same rate as New South Wales as a whole — 0.62 approvals per 100 existing dwellings a year against the state figure of 0.59.

How current is this development data?

ABS building approvals are published with a lag of roughly four months; this page carries the series to June 2026. Development applications are collected from council planning portals and refresh continuously, with the most recent application here lodged in August 2026. Major project records are reviewed on an ongoing basis. Each section carries its own currency label so the four are never confused.

Development data is provided for general information. Estimated values, dwelling counts and delivery dates come from the lodging or delivering party and are not independently verified by AreaSearch. Confirm anything material with the relevant council or agency before relying on it.