Kingsbury
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsbury's population was around 12,544 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 2,136 people, a 20.5% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 10,408. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 12,508 in June 2024 and 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,392 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Kingsbury's growth exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages since the 2021 census. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Kingsbury is projected to grow by 8,292 persons, a 65.8% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Kingsbury among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Kingsbury has averaged approximately 47 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 239 homes. As of FY26, 4 approvals have been recorded. Historically, each dwelling has attracted an average of 3 new residents annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $405,000.

In terms of commercial activity, Kingsbury has seen $22.8 million in approvals during this financial year. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury records around 57% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 61st percentile nationally. The current new building activity comprises 9.0% detached dwellings and 91.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the existing housing mix of 60.0% houses. This change reflects reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Kingsbury's population density is approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, suggesting room for growth.

By 2041, Kingsbury is projected to grow by 8,256 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsbury has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 29 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Bundoora Centre Expansion, Hilton Garden Inn Bundoora, Polaris 3083 Master Planned Community, and University Hill Master Planned Community. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kingsbury significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Kingsbury has a highly educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 2.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, 7,295 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% and workforce participation at 64.1%, matching Greater Melbourne's rate. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in accommodation & food services, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Construction has limited presence, with 8.4% employment compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicates above-average local employment opportunities. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 1.4%, leading to a 1.1 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. Greater Melbourne recorded higher employment growth at 3.5% but saw an increase in unemployment rate of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsbury's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Kingsbury's median income among taxpayers is $51,137. The average income in Kingsbury during this period was $64,379. Nationally, the median income is approximately the same as Kingsbury's, while Greater Melbourne has a higher median of $54,892 and an average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kingsbury would be approximately $57,355 (median) and $72,207 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 49th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income sits at the 27th percentile. Income analysis shows that the predominant cohort spans 30.4% of locals (3,813 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This pattern is similar to the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kingsbury, with only 83.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 49th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kingsbury displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kingsbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 59.9% houses and 40.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsbury stood at 32.0%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. Dwellings were also either mortgaged (31.5%) or rented (36.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with the Melbourne metro average. The median weekly rent figure was $369, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $371. Nationally, Kingsbury's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Kingsbury features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.7% of all households, including 32.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households making up 7.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kingsbury aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 40.4% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways account for 23.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 12.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.0% in tertiary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing primary education. Kingsbury has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,081 students, demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1011) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 2 primary and 3 K-12 schools. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsbury has 68 active public transport stops offering a mix of lightrail and bus services. These stops are served by 12 different routes, together facilitating 7,858 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 214 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 1,122 trips per day, translating to roughly 115 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsbury's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Kingsbury.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~6,510 people), slightly leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.4% and 6.7% of residents respectively. A total of 73.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.2% across Greater Melbourne. Kingsbury has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,584 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Melbourne.

Kingsbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsbury has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Kingsbury is Christianity, making up 45.8% of the population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented in Kingsbury at 5.2%, compared to 3.4% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (15.4%), Australian (14.6%), and Other (13.8%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Macedonian is slightly overrepresented at 2.4% in Kingsbury versus 2.1% regionally, Italian is underrepresented at 9.2% compared to 12.3%, and Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 1.1% versus 0.4%.

Kingsbury hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kingsbury has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (26.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (9.9%). This concentration of young adults is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Kingsbury's median age has decreased by 2.1 years to 32 due to a shift in its population towards younger residents. Between 2006 and 2021, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 20.1% to 26.6%, while those aged 25-34 rose from 18.1% to 19.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 decreased from 13.6% to 10.3%, and those aged 5-14 dropped from 8.6% to 7.3%. Demographic projections indicate that Kingsbury's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow the most, with a projected increase of 76%, adding 1,877 residents to reach a total of 4,364.