Kingsbury

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsbury's population was around 12,544 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 2,136 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,408. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,508 in June 2024 and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,392 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kingsbury's growth of 20.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (8.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the area expected to expand by 8,292 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 65.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Kingsbury among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Kingsbury averaged approximately 47 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 239 homes. As of FY-26, four approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling accommodated around three new residents yearly between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for new dwellings was $405,000 during this period.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $22.8 million, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury's building activity per capita is about 57%, placing it among the 60th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity comprised 9.0% detached dwellings and 91.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the current housing mix (currently 60.0% houses) reflects reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, suggesting room for growth.

By 2041, Kingsbury is projected to gain 8,256 residents, potentially outpacing housing supply if current development rates continue, which could intensify buyer competition and support stronger price growth.

Kingsbury has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 29 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Bundoora Centre Expansion, Hilton Garden Inn Bundoora, La Trobe University City of the Future, and RMIT University Bundoora Campus Developments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kingsbury significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Kingsbury has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.9%. There were 7,650 residents employed while workforce participation matched Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area specializes in accommodation & food services with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Construction has a limited presence at 8.4%, compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The worker-to-resident ratio was 0.6 as of the Census, indicating above-normal local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment increased by 1.9% while labour force grew by 1.2%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Kingsbury SA2's median income among taxpayers was $51,137 with an average of $64,379. This is approximately national average, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,355 (median) and $72,207 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income sits at the 26th percentile. Income analysis shows the predominant cohort spans 30.4% of locals (3,813 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in surrounding region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 49th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kingsbury displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kingsbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 59.9% houses and 40.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsbury was 32.0%, with the rest being mortgaged (31.5%) or rented (36.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsbury was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $369, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $371. Nationally, Kingsbury's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Kingsbury features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 32.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 7.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kingsbury aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 40.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways comprise 23.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 10.7% and certificates for 12.7%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.0% in tertiary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing primary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsbury has 68 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These include a mix of lightrail and bus services. The stops are serviced by 12 individual routes which collectively provide 7,858 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 1,122 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 115 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsbury's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Kingsbury.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~6,510 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.4% and 6.7% of residents respectively. 73.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.2% across Greater Melbourne. Kingsbury has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,584 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Kingsbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsbury's population shows high cultural diversity, with 43.6% born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsbury, comprising 45.8%. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 5.2% of Kingsbury's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (15.4%), Australian (14.6%), and Other (13.8%). Notably, Macedonian, Italian, and Sri Lankan ethnic groups have higher representations in Kingsbury compared to regional averages: Macedonian at 2.4% vs 2.1%, Italian at 9.2% vs 12.3%, and Sri Lankan at 1.1% vs 0.4%.

Kingsbury hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kingsbury's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (26.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (9.9%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that younger residents have lowered the median age by 2.1 years to 32. The proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 20.1% to 26.6%, while those aged 25-34 have risen from 18.1% to 19.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has declined from 13.6% to 10.3%, and those aged 5-14 have dropped from 8.6% to 7.3%. Demographic modeling indicates that Kingsbury's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 25-34 cohort, expected to increase by 76%, adding 1,877 residents to reach a total of 4,364.