Kingsbury

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsbury's population was around 12,580 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 2,172 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,408. The change was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 12,508 in June 2024 and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 1,396 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Kingsbury's growth rate of 20.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (9.7%) and SA3 area averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for this population increase.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Kingsbury is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national areas. By 2041, the area's population is projected to expand by 8,292 persons, reflecting a total increase of 65.3% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Kingsbury among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Kingsbury averaged approximately 47 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 239 homes. As of FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. This averages to around 3 new residents per dwelling annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating robust demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is $405,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $22.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury records about 57% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 60th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity comprises approximately 9.0% detached dwellings and 91.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards compact living that offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix of 60.0% houses, driven by reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, suggesting potential for growth.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsbury is projected to grow by 8,220 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsbury has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones include Hilton Garden Inn Bundoora, La Trobe University City of the Future, RMIT University Bundoora Campus Developments, and 149 McKimmies Road Residential Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Kingsbury significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Kingsbury has a highly educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.3% as of September 2025, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.9%.

In September 2025, 7,650 residents were in work and workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 29.0% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in accommodation & food services with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Construction has limited presence with 8.4% employment compared to 9.7% regionally. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.9% and labour force by 1.2%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode-level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows Kingsbury SA2's median income among taxpayers is $54,231, with an average of $66,592. This is slightly lower than the national average. In comparison, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $58,705 (median) and $72,086 (average). Census data indicates household income ranks at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income is at the 26th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 30.4% of locals (3,824 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 49th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kingsbury displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census evaluation in Kingsbury, 59.9% of dwellings were houses while 40.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metropolitan area's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsbury stood at 32.0%, similar to Melbourne metro, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (31.5%) or rented (36.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment for Kingsbury was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while median weekly rent was $369 compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Kingsbury's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, but rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Kingsbury features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 32.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 7.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational attainment in Kingsbury aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 40.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways account for 23.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 12.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.0% in tertiary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing primary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsbury has 68 active public transport stops offering a mix of lightrail and bus services. These are served by 12 routes, collectively facilitating 6,332 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commute outward; car remains dominant at 80%, while train usage stands at 7%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.3 per dwelling. In 2021 Census data (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions), 29% of residents work from home.

Service frequency averages 904 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 93 weekly trips per stop.

Kingsbury's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Kingsbury residents have shown relatively positive health outcomes according to health data. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions indicates that results are largely in line with national benchmarks.

The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~6,554 people), slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.4 and 6.7% of residents respectively. 73.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,588 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kingsbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsbury has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.6% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsbury, comprising 45.8% of the population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented in Kingsbury at 5.2%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three represented ancestry groups are English (15.4%), Australian (14.6%), and Other (13.8%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Macedonian is overrepresented at 2.4% in Kingsbury (vs 0.7% regionally), Italian at 9.2% (vs 5.2%), and Sri Lankan at 1.1% (vs 0.8%).

Kingsbury hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Kingsbury's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsbury has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 at 26.6%, but fewer residents aged 35-44 at 9.9%. This 15-24 concentration is well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that younger residents have shifted Kingsbury's median age down by 2.1 years to 32. Key changes include the 15 to 24 age group growing from 20.1% to 26.6%, and the 25 to 34 cohort increasing from 18.1% to 19.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.6% to 10.3%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 8.6% to 7.3%. Demographic modeling suggests that Kingsbury's age profile will evolve significantly by the year 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 75%, adding 1,870 residents to reach a total of 4,364.