1 Proposed4applications in assessmentLeading · to July 2026See applications ↓
2 Approved663dwellings approved in 2024-25, or 3.61 per 100 existing dwellings a yearOfficial · ABS to June 2026See approvals ↓
3 Building10major projects committed or under construction, 4 of them already on siteForward · completions to 2030+See projects ↓
4 Delivered3,117new addresses verified since the 2021 Census, up 47.5% on the existing baseActual · to June 2026Where it landed ↓
In the 2024-25 financial year the ABS recorded 663 dwelling approvals across Molonglo. Right now, 4 development applications are in assessment. AreaSearch tracks 10 major projects here that are committed or under construction, the largest being Denman Prospect Masterplanned Community - Stages 2 & 3 at an estimated $2.20bn. On the ground, 3,117 new addresses have been verified since the 2021 Census — growth of 47.5% on the existing address base.
These four figures are deliberately not added together. An application, an
approval and a project under construction are often the same building at three points in its life,
measured by three different bodies with three different lags. Read them as a sequence, not a total.
ApprovedBuilding Approvals in Molonglo
What councils and certifiers have formally
permitted — the ABS series, published about four months in arrears.
Approvals are running at 3.61 per 100 existing dwellings a year, well above the Australian Capital Territory rate of 0.70. Recent approvals are dominated by attached housing — apartments, townhouses and other non-detached dwellings make up 68% of them. The mix being approved closely matches what is already standing — 36% houses against 41% of existing homes. The average approved dwelling is valued at $344,000 in construction cost.
For its size, Molonglo is adding 3.61 dwellings a year per 100 existing homes — well above the Australian Capital Territory rate of 0.70 and the national rate of 0.71. That is about 40.1 approvals a year for every 1,000 residents. Building intensity has fallen by about 39% across the published series.
Measured against people rather than housing stock, Molonglo is approving 31.55 dwellings a year per 1,000 residents — well above the Australian Capital Territory rate of 5.63. The two rate views differ by household size, which here averages 2.7 people per home. Housing the projection to 2041 would need about 45.56 per 1,000 residents a year.
Dwelling approvals a year per 100 existing
homes, with Australian Capital Territory and Australia for comparison. This is the
same activity as the totals view, divided by the size of the area — which is the only
fair way to compare a large SA3 with a small one.
Dwelling approvals a year per 1,000
residents, each year divided by that year’s estimated resident
population (ABS ERP at 30 June), not by today’s — which matters most in fast-growing
areas, where a fixed denominator can understate the early years by half. The most recent periods use the latest published ERP, as the population series runs a year behind approvals. Read it alongside the per-100-homes view: the two differ wherever household size does.
Dwelling units approved each financial year. The dashed line is the five-year average of 783.
How intensively is it building?
Dwelling approvals a year per 100 existing dwellings.
Molonglo3.61
Australian Capital Territory0.70
Australia0.71
What is here, and what is coming
Detached houses as a share of existing homes,
against the share of recent approvals.
Existing homes (2021 Census)41%
Approved, last 5 years36%
Approved, latest year32%
Detached housesApartments, townhouses & other
Approvals mix by year
Share of each year’s approvals.
2022
2023
2024
2025
2024-25
$277m
Residential work approved
2024-25
$64.7m
Commercial work approved
construction cost
$344,000
Average value per approved dwelling
last two years
28
Residents per approval
Supply & DemandIs Molonglo Building Enough Homes?
The same approvals, measured against the population
they have to house.
Molonglo approves about 40.1 new dwellings a year for every 1,000 residents. Since the 2021 Census it has added 8,089 residents and 3,117 new addresses, roughly one new home per 2.6 extra residents — broadly in step with an average household of 2.7. Housing the population projected for 2041 implies roughly 889 new dwellings a year from here, which puts the recent approval rate of 783 a year about level with what the projection needs.
Growth against supply since the Census
People added for every new address verified,
against the size of an average local household.
People added per new home2.6
Average household size2.7
A bar longer than the household average means
the area gained more residents than its new housing could hold, and the extra had to be
absorbed by existing homes.
Approval rate against projected need
Dwellings a year: what is currently being
approved, against what the 2041 population projection implies.
Approved (5-yr average)783
Implied need to 2041889
Implied need assumes the average household stays
at today’s 2.7 people. Approvals are not
completions, and not every approval is built.
What is being asked for right now — applications
collected from council planning portals, before any of it reaches the ABS series above.
AreaSearch tracks applications of material scale; routine minor works such as signage and
fencing changes are not carried, so these are not counts of every application lodged. 31
of them carry an AreaSearch analyst assessment — look for the
Analysed marker in the search below.
AreaSearch tracks 44 development applications of material scale lodged with council across Molonglo, the most recent in July 2026. 4 of them are still in assessment. The most common types in the queue are multi-residential, childcare and commercial.
Number of applications by development type. This is the clearest
single picture of what kind of place Molonglo is being asked to become. Councils in
Australian Capital Territory do not publish an estimated cost of works in
their planning feeds, so applications here are counted rather than valued.
Where the applications stand
As reported by the council. Highlighted rows are
applications still in assessment.
Decided37
On notification5
Under Assessment2
3 applications are still marked under
assessment but were lodged more than
18 months ago. Councils often leave determined or
abandoned applications open in their feeds, so
they are counted here but excluded
from the live queue above.
By local government area
Applications on record within each council area that
overlaps Molonglo. This counts applications inside this
statistical area only — it is not a total for the council.
Unincorporated ACT44
Recent applications in Molonglo
By the number of dwellings proposed, as lodged. Figures are the applicant’s own and are not verified by AreaSearch.
Stage 3 of KOKO development featuring a commercial accommodation serviced apartment buildingWright · On notification · lodged Jul 2026
PLANNING ACT 2023 - PROPOSAL FOR MULTI-UNIT DEVELOPMENT - Construction of 4 new three-storey dwellings, garages, driveway, verge crossing…Denman Prospect · On notification · lodged Jun 2026
PLANNING ACT 2023 - PROPOSAL FOR DWELLING ALTERATIONS AND ADDITIONS - Proposed enclosure of the upper-storey terrace and associated works.Whitlam · On notification · lodged Jun 2026
BuildingFORWARDMajor Projects & Infrastructure in Molonglo
What is funded and moving — the projects large enough
to change how Molonglo works, ranked by committed value and how close
they are to delivery.
AreaSearch tracks 10 current projects across Molonglo. The largest is Denman Prospect Masterplanned Community - Stages 2 & 3 at an estimated $2.20bn, due by 2032. That breaks down as 4 under construction and 6 still in planning. The pipeline is weighted toward residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics.
Under construction$2.20bnby 2032
Denman Prospect Masterplanned Community - Stages 2 & 3
Denman Prospect is a major masterplanned suburb in the Molonglo Valley district of Canberra, developed across three stages. Stage 1 (approx. 2,000 dwellings) is complete with over 6,000 residents. Stage 2…
Whitlam
Under construction$225mby 2026
Molonglo River Bridge and John Gorton Drive Extension
A jointly funded ACT and Australian Government infrastructure project delivering a 200-metre weathering steel bridge over the Molonglo River and approximately 1.7 kilometres of new arterial road as the final…
Development of two new suburbs in the Molonglo Valley - Bandler and Sulman - within the Molonglo Valley 3 East planning area. Officially gazetted in September 2024, the greenfield project will provide…
Molonglo - East
Also in the pipeline
Molonglo Town CentreIn planning · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2045 · Arboretum
$850m
The BoroughUnder construction · Residential Development · Denman Prospect
Denman ApartmentsUnder construction · Residential Development · Denman Prospect
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as
definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other
investigations from the project’s source for actual imagery. Developers and
project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact
Us and we will do so.
Beyond 2030:
a further $3.05bn across
2 projects with completion dates further out — mostly precinct-scale programs whose dates are
indicative. Kept out of the chart so the years you can act on stay readable.
Estimated value of tracked projects by the year they are due to
complete, stacked by how certain they are. The dark band is money already being spent;
the pale band is still an intention. Estimates are indicative and mix infrastructure
cost with whole-of-precinct development value, so read the shape rather than the totals.
Approvals PipelineDevelopment Applications in Molonglo
Development applications around
Molonglo
Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch.
We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Applications
—
In the local catchment
Est. Value
—
Where disclosed
Under Assessment
—
Awaiting determination
Determined
—
Approved or decided
Approvals pipelineStatus, location, timing and project scale
Loading development applications…
Lodged
Address
Description
Type
Distance
Status
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
ProfessionalPRODevelopment Map for Molonglo
Applications and major projects plotted where
they are actually proposed, with the
11 projects AreaSearch tracks here on their own tab — filterable by type, delivery stage,
area and committed value. To search every application on record rather
than this sample, use the section above.
DistributionWhere Development Is Happening in Molonglo
Molonglo covers 3 statistical areas. Follow any of them through for a full profile of population, housing, sales and amenity at local scale.
Map builder
Each area below opens a map builder on its own page — a tool for
putting a map and a table into a report. Pick the place types you want plotted
(schools, supermarkets, medical, child care, transport and the rest of what
AreaSearch holds), add development applications as their own layer, drop your own
points, then recolour, renumber and export the result as a table or CSV.
A this area only toggle clips everything to the boundary you are looking at.
Searches are charged against your credit balance — 1 credit per 40
results from AreaSearch data — and setting filters costs nothing until
you search. The builder works on one suburb-sized area at a time, which is why it
opens per area rather than across the whole of
Molonglo.
Collected from council planning portals. The
earliest signal available, but the least certain: many applications are amended,
withdrawn or refused, values are the applicant’s own estimate, and coverage
varies by council. This is a curated set, not the full council feed:
AreaSearch carries applications of material scale and does not track routine minor
works such as signage, fencing or small alterations, so the counts here are lower
than a council’s own total lodgement figure and should not be compared with it. Applications still shown as under assessment more than
18 months after lodgement are reported separately
and kept out of the live-queue figures: the age profile of open applications is
sharply split between a genuine queue under a year old and a long tail of records
councils never closed. Not every state publishes a cost of works — Queensland,
the Northern Territory and the ACT publish none at all — so on those pages
applications are counted rather than valued and no dollar figure is shown
rather than a partial one. Treated here as a snapshot of the current queue only —
AreaSearch does not chart application counts over time, because the history
reflects when each portal was collected rather than when development happened.
Approved — ABS building approvals
The official series, aggregated to SA3 from
ABS building approvals data, currently published to June 2026.
Counts dwelling units approved, not buildings and not completions. The most recent
financial year is annualised from nine months of data wherever it appears and is
labelled as such.
Building — major projects
Projects tracked individually by AreaSearch
from Infrastructure Australia, state infrastructure agencies, developer disclosures
and council records. Values are estimates and delivery dates are targets. Ranked on
this page by committed value and delivery stage rather than by distance.
Delivered — verified new addresses
New residential addresses verified in the national
address register since the 2021 Census. This is the closest available measure of what has
actually been built, though address creation can lead occupation and lags
construction. It is not a completions count.
Boundaries
Molonglo is Statistical Area Level 3 80110 in the ABS Australian Statistical Geography Standard (2021 edition), made up of 3 Statistical Areas Level 2.
It has an estimated 19,524 residents, +70.7% since the 2021 Census.
Currency
Measure
Source
To
Dwelling approvals, five-year average
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
House share of approvals
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Residents per approval
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Value per approved dwelling
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Commercial work approved
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Verified new addresses since the Census
Address register / AreaSearch
May 2026
Development applications
Council planning portals
July 2026
Major projects
Infrastructure Australia / state agencies / AreaSearch
Ongoing
Figures on this page are read live from the
AreaSearch database each time it loads, so they update as soon as a source does.
Development in Molonglo — common questions
How many new dwellings were approved in Molonglo?
The ABS recorded 663 dwelling approvals across Molonglo in the 2024-25 financial year, against a five-year average of 783 a year.
How many development applications are lodged in Molonglo?
AreaSearch tracks 44 development applications of material scale across Molonglo — routine minor works such as signage and fencing are not included, so this is not a count of every application lodged, of which 4 remain in assessment. The most recent application in our data was lodged in July 2026.
What major projects are planned for Molonglo?
AreaSearch tracks 10 current major projects in Molonglo, 4 of them under construction. The largest include Denman Prospect Masterplanned Community - Stages 2 & 3, Molonglo River Bridge and John Gorton Drive Extension and Bandler and Sulman New Suburbs.
Is Molonglo growing faster than the rest of Australian Capital Territory?
On development approvals, Molonglo is adding new dwellings faster than Australian Capital Territory as a whole — 3.61 approvals per 100 existing dwellings a year against the state figure of 0.70.
How current is this development data?
ABS building approvals are published with a lag of roughly four months; this page carries the series to June 2026. Development applications are collected from council planning portals and refresh continuously, with the most recent application here lodged in July 2026. Major project records are reviewed on an ongoing basis. Each section carries its own currency label so the four are never confused.
Development data is provided for general information.
Estimated values, dwelling counts and delivery dates come from the lodging or delivering party and
are not independently verified by AreaSearch. Confirm anything material with the relevant council
or agency before relying on it.