Hadspen - Carrick

Hadspen - Carrick has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Hadspen - Carrick's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 3,913 people. This figure represents an increase of 308 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,605. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,828 in June 2025 and an additional 141 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density of 22 persons per square kilometer. Hadspen - Carrick's growth rate of 8.5% since the 2021 Census exceeds both the state average (4.0%) and its SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 80.6% to overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth by age group, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering projected demographic shifts, non-metropolitan areas like Hadspen - Carrick are expected to grow at a lower quartile rate, with an anticipated expansion of 14 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a decrease of 1.8% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Hadspen - Carrick when compared nationally

Hadspen-Carrick averaged approximately 40 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 201 homes. As of FY-26, 18 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 accommodated around 1.2 new residents annually, indicating a balanced supply and demand in the market. However, this has decreased to 0.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting more balanced supply conditions. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $284,000.

This year, $1.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Hadspen-Carrick exhibits moderately higher building activity, with 47.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 106 people per approval, Hadspen-Carrick reflects a developing area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, it may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Hadspen - Carrick has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects likely influencing the region. Notable initiatives include the Prospect Vale - Blackstone Heights Structure Plan (2025-2045), Country Club Estate development, McDonald's Prospect Vale Drive-Thru Restaurant construction, and Cedar Grove Estate Stage 4 in St Leonards. The following list details projects most relevant to the area.

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Hadspen - Carrick ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Hadspen - Carrick has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.7%. The area's unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%, with workforce participation at 69.2%, compared to Regional Tas.'s 58.7%.

According to Census responses in December 2025, 7.7% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 5.1%, compared to 8.4% regionally.

Over the year to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.9% and employment decreased by 1.7%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. Regional Tas., however, recorded employment growth of 1.8%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.1% over ten years for Hadspen - Carrick, based on its current employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Hadspen - Carrick SA2's median income among taxpayers was $54,791 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $62,966 for the same period. These figures compare to Regional Tas.'s median and average incomes of $49,689 and $59,358 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $60,791 (median) and $69,861 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Hadspen - Carrick rank modestly between the 40th and 46th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 36.2% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket (1,416 individuals), which is similar to regional levels where 28.5% occupy this band. Housing costs are manageable with 87.7% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 45th percentile.

Hadspen - Carrick is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Hadspen-Carrick's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 89.0% houses and 11.1% other dwellings. Regionally in Tasmania, it was 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hadspen-Carrick stood at 37.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.9% and rented ones at 17.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,408, higher than Regional Tas.'s average of $1,274. Median weekly rent in Hadspen-Carrick was $265, compared to Regional Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Hadspen-Carrick's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,408 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $265 compared to the national figure of $375.

Hadspen - Carrick has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 34.2% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.5%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Regional Tasmanian average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Hadspen - Carrick fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualified residents at 11.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 8.7% and certificates for 32.9%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hadspen - Carrick has 11 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by 46 different routes that collectively facilitate 3033 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 1050 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outwards, primarily using cars (95%). On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 7.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 433 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 275 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hadspen - Carrick's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Hadspen - Carrick residents show positive health outcomes, aligning with national mortality rates and health condition prevalence, which are low overall but higher among older cohorts. Approximately 50% (~1,972 people) have private health cover, below the national average of 55.7%.

Common conditions include arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (9.3%), with 65.4% reporting no medical ailments, compared to Regional Tas.'s 62.0%. Working-age residents exhibit higher chronic condition prevalence. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (782 people), lower than Regional Tas.'s 24.9%. Health outcomes for seniors present challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Hadspen - Carrick placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hadspen-Carrick, as per the census conducted on the 9th of August, 2016, exhibited low cultural diversity with 93.2% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 98.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.1% of the population. While Judaism's representation was proportionate to Regional Tas., at 0.1%, notable disparities existed in other ethnic groups' representations: Dutch were overrepresented at 2.4% (regional average: 1.7%), Australian Aboriginal at 2.5% (regional average: 4.1%), and French at 0.4% (regional average: 0.3%).

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Hadspen - Carrick are Australian, comprising 36.5% of the population, English, comprising 35.9% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 7.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.4% of Hadspen - Carrick (vs 1.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal at 2.5% (vs 4.1%) and French at 0.4% (vs 0.3%).

Hadspen - Carrick's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Hadspen-Carrick has a median age of 39 years, which is lower than Regional Tasmania's average of 45 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 12.9% of the population, higher than Regional Tas., while the 75-84 cohort makes up 6.3%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 11.8% to 13.5%, and the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 10.5% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 13.6% to 11.9%, and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 12.3% to 10.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Hadspen-Carrick's age profile. The 45 to 54 cohort is expected to grow by 42%, adding 194 residents to reach 661. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts.