Mountain Creek

Population growth drivers in Mountain Creek are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Mountain Creek's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 12,329 people. This figure represents an increase of 379 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,950. The growth from June 2024's estimated resident population of 12,310, combined with 16 new addresses validated after the Census date, accounts for this increase. This results in a density ratio of 1,672 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Mountain Creek has shown consistent growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, surpassing that of its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. Note that state projections lack age category splits; thus, proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort are applied where utilized. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decrease by 211 persons according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75-84 age group, which is projected to increase by 235 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mountain Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mountain Creek has approved approximately 11 residential properties per year on average over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 57 homes approved during this period and an additional 6 approved in FY26. This results in around 4.4 new residents arriving annually for each dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. The demand for housing significantly exceeds the supply of new dwellings, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $425,000. In terms of commercial development, Mountain Creek has registered $4.1 million in approvals this financial year, indicating a limited focus on commercial development compared to the rest of Queensland, where it is 81.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, although construction activity has intensified recently. Nationally, Mountain Creek's level of development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. The current housing mix in Mountain Creek consists of 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% attached dwellings, showing a trend towards denser development that appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (78.0%), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Mountain Creek has approximately 663 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market with stable or declining population projections, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers in the future.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Mountain Creek should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Mountain Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Seven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Sunshine Motorway, Mooloolah River Interchange Upgrade (Stage 1), Karawatha Drive Cycle Track, Mountain Creek Station (The Wave Stage 3 Metro), and Brightwater Estate. The following list details those projected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Mountain Creek performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Mountain Creek has an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of September 2025, with 7,140 residents employed. This is 2.0% lower than the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Mountain Creek is 70.8%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.6% of the workforce compared to Rest of Qld's 4.5%.

Between August 2024 and September 2025, Mountain Creek's labour force decreased by 2.6%, employment declined by 2.1%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment rise by 1.7% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. State-wide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov-2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mountain Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Mountain Creek SA2 was $51,245 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $67,291 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of Qld's which were $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $58,414 and the average income around $76,705, based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mountain Creek cluster around the 59th percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 37.8% of locals (4,660 people) with earnings in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. This is similar to the broader area where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 19.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mountain Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mountain Creek's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.9% houses and 22.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 74.1% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mountain Creek stood at 23.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.0% and rented ones at 37.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Mountain Creek was $500, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $465. Nationally, Mountain Creek's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mountain Creek features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 80.6% of all households, including 38.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.4%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Mountain Creek exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Mountain Creek trail's residents aged 15+ have 25.0% university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 40.4%, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (27.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.1%), secondary education (10.8%), and tertiary education (4.9%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mountain Creek has 31 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that collectively facilitate 387 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is deemed good, with residents residing an average of 289 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 55 daily trips across all routes, translating to roughly 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mountain Creek's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Mountain Creek, with both younger and older age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53%, covering around 6,583 people out of the total population. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.3% and 7.9% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.4%, report having no medical ailments, compared to 69.0% across the rest of Queensland. Mountain Creek has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.0% (1,605 people) than the rest of Queensland's 20.2%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong and align with those of the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mountain Creek records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mountain Creek, surveyed in 2016-2021, had a population where 8.3% spoke languages other than English at home and 25.5% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 44.8%. Judaism's representation stood at 0.2%, slightly higher than the rest of Queensland's 0.2%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (32.2%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (8.2%). Notably, New Zealanders comprised 1.3% compared to 1.1% regionally, South Africans made up 1.0% versus 0.9%, and Dutch residents accounted for 1.7% against 1.5%.

Mountain Creek's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mountain Creek's median age is 37 years, significantly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but essentially aligned with Australia's median of 38. The 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.4% locally compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. Post-2021 Census, the 15-24 age group grew from 13.0% to 14.3%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 3.0% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 16.7% to 14.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Mountain Creek's age profile will evolve significantly. The 75-84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 41%, adding 211 residents to reach 724. Residents aged 65 and older represent 69% of anticipated growth. Population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 55-64 cohorts.