Mountain Creek

Population growth drivers in Mountain Creek are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Mountain Creek's population was 12,397 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects a growth of 447 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,950. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 12,397 in June 2025 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,682 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 74.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decline by 220 persons. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 217 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mountain Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mountain Creek has recorded approximately 11 residential properties granted approval annually on average over the past five financial years. Specifically, 57 homes were approved between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 9 approved so far in FY-26. This results in a significant demand exceeding new supply, as indicated by an average of 4.4 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over the same period.

Consequently, this has led to price growth and increased buyer competition for new dwellings, which are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $425,000. In terms of commercial development, $4.1 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. When comparing Mountain Creek's development activity to the rest of Queensland, it is significantly lower, at 81.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, although construction activity has intensified recently. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows a trend towards denser development, with 64.0% attached dwellings compared to 36.0% standalone homes. This shift provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, marking a considerable change from the current housing mix of 78.0% houses.

The location has approximately 663 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. With population projections showing stability or decline, Mountain Creek is expected to see reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Mountain Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Seven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Sunshine Motorway, Mooloolah River Interchange Upgrade (Stage 1), Karawatha Drive Cycle Track, Mountain Creek Station (The Wave Stage 3 Metro), and Brightwater Estate.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mountain Creek ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Mountain Creek's unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025. It had 7,054 residents employed with a participation rate of 72.5%. This is below Regional Qld's rates of 4.0% unemployment and 64.5% participation.

A moderate 15.6% of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented at 0.6%, compared to Regional Qld's 4.5%.

Limited local opportunities were indicated by Census data comparing working population to residents. Between May-24 and May-25, labour force decreased by 3.2% and employment declined by 3.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment grow by 0.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mountain Creek's industry mix suggests local employment could rise by 6.9% in five years and 14.1% in ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for population changes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Mountain Creek SA2 was $53,813 in financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This figure is higher than the national average of $53,146 for Regional Qld. The average income in Mountain Creek SA2 was $71,796 compared to Regional Qld's $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, the estimated median income would be approximately $59,926 and average income $79,952 as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mountain Creek cluster around the 59th percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 37.8% of locals (4,686 people), with incomes between $1,500 and 2,999. This is similar to the broader area where 31.7% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 19.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mountain Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census data shows that 77.9% of dwellings in Mountain Creek are houses, with the remaining 22.1% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Regional Queensland has 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mountain Creek stands at 23.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.0% and rented ones at 37.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $1,950, higher than Regional Queensland's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Mountain Creek is $500, compared to Regional Queensland's $345. Nationally, Mountain Creek's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mountain Creek features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 80.6% of all households, including 38.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.4%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Mountain Creek exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Mountain Creek Trail region, as of the latest data available (2021), 25.0% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. The most common qualifications are bachelor degrees at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.4%, and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational credentials are held by 40.4% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 27.7%. Educational participation is high, with 33.4% currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.1% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mountain Creek has 31 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that combined provide 343 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located 289 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 94%, with an average vehicle ownership of 1.6 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 15.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 49 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mountain Creek's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Mountain Creek's health outcomes show exceptional results, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, younger cohorts exhibit very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is found to be high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6,805 people), compared to 52.5% across Regional Qld. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.3% and 7.9% of residents respectively. A significant majority (72.4%) report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 67.6% reported across Regional Qld. Health outcomes among those under 65 are better than average. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.2% (1,633 people), compared to Regional Qld's 20.4%. Despite strong health outcomes among seniors in Mountain Creek, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mountain Creek records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mountain Creek, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher-than-average linguistic diversity with 8.3% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 25.5% of Mountain Creek's population was recorded in March 2017. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 44.8%.

Notably, Judaism had a higher representation at 0.2%, compared to Regional Qld's 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, English and Australian were the top groups with 32.2% and 25.6% respectively, followed by Scottish at 8.2%. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.3%, South Australians at 1.0%, and Dutch at 1.7%.

Mountain Creek's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mountain Creek's median age is 37 years, which is significantly below the Regional Queensland average of 41 years but essentially aligned with the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to the Regional Queensland average, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mountain Creek at 15.2%, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.8%. Following the Census conducted on 24 August 2021, the population composition has changed: the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.0% to 14.5%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.0% to 4.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 16.7% to 14.5%, and the 25 to 34 age group dropped from 11.9% to 10.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mountain Creek's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 37%, adding 199 residents to reach 740. This demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 71% of anticipated population growth. However, population declines are projected for both the 45-54 and 55-64 age cohorts.